In my 25 years in business, I've released 6,254 Pro NFL Football Picks to my paying clients.
I show every single one here - the good, the bad, and the ugly - because I value 100% transparency regarding my pick results.
These pages verify the results I promote match the picks I release.
Season:
Week:
Week 4 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Atlanta at New Orleans
October 5, 2026
8:15 PM Eastern
I had New Orleans with the points and the OVER at Detroit three weeks ago and cashed both in a 31-30 overtime game. Only seven of its 61 points came before h...
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 24 -120
See Full Write Up
Denver at San Francisco
October 4, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
San Francisco hosts Denver today after allowing 30 to Arizona last Sunday, when Jacoby Brissett threw 52 passes. Nick Bosa is out with a calf injury, and def...
2 units on Denver +3 (-120)
See Full Write Up
Los Angeles at Seattle
October 4, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Seattle hosts the Chargers today with 31 points at Arizona behind it, a 31-7 win I had two weeks ago laying the points, and 31 again last Sunday in a 33-31 l...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42.5 -104
See Full Write Up
Miami at Minnesota
October 4, 2026
4:05 PM Eastern
Miami enters this afternoon with a 0-3 record and has allowed 28.7 points per game, 28th in the league. Minnesota is 3-0 and scores 23.7 points per game, 16t...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 38.5 -108
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
Arizona at New York
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Jacoby Brissett completed 38 of 52 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns in Arizona's 36-30 loss at San Francisco, against the league's best third-down off...
2 units on Arizona -2.5 (-106)
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Houston
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Dallas arrives today after a 34-31 loss to Baltimore last Sunday, a game where I had the Cowboys with the points and cashed. The Cowboys have scored 37 and 3...
1.5 units on Dallas +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Green Bay at Tampa Bay
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Green Bay carries a 14-point game against Atlanta into today and ranks 32nd in third-down conversion at 27.78 percent. The Packers are also 32nd in rushing a...
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 19.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Cincinnati
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Joe Burrow completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards and three touchdowns at Pittsburgh last Sunday, and Cincinnati still lost 27-30. Before that, the Bengals ...
2 units on Cincinnati -2.5 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
Los Angeles at Philadelphia
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Los Angeles arrives today after Matthew Stafford threw 55 passes for 390 yards and two touchdowns at Denver last Sunday, and the Rams lost 30-26 after a four...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New York at Chicago
October 4, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Chicago enters today averaging 29.7 points a game, tied for sixth in the league, after scoring 59 at Carolina in Week 1, 3 against Minnesota, and 27 against ...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42.5 -108
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at Cleveland
October 1, 2026
8:15 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh beat Cincinnati 30-27 last week behind 292 passing yards and three touchdowns from Aaron Rodgers, and it did that at home, where the Steelers are ...
1 unit on Cleveland +3 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Week 3 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Philadelphia at Chicago
September 28, 2026
8:15 PM Eastern
Case Keenum hasn't taken a regular-season snap since 2023, and he walks into Monday night's spotlight with Tyson Bagent unavailable and Caleb Williams alread...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Baltimore vs. Dallas
September 27, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
I was against Dallas last week, and it cost me, watching the Cowboys hang 37 points on Washington one week after New York controlled the ball against them fo...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Tampa Bay
September 27, 2026
4:05 PM Eastern
Minnesota's defense has been outstanding early, allowing just 12.5 points a game, but its offense has been the story: 39 points in the opener against Green B...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42 -110
See Full Write Up
Houston at Indianapolis
September 27, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Houston and Indianapolis are both winless, but the question is which defense has been the bigger problem. Indianapolis has allowed 37 points a game through t...
1.5 units on Houston -1 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
New England at Jacksonville
September 27, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Jacksonville's offense showed exactly what it can be in Week 1, hanging 34 points on Cleveland without a turnover, and while a good Denver defense held the J...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
New York at Detroit
September 27, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
New York has played measured, first-half football in both games so far, up just 10-3 at the break in Nashville and tied 7-7 with Green Bay before the number ...
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 24.5 -122
See Full Write Up
Tennessee at New York
September 27, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Tennessee is winless at 0-2, and that's worth saying plainly before making the case for the points. But the Titans have actually tightened up on defense, hol...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Week 2 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
New York at Los Angeles
September 21, 2026
8:15 PM Eastern
Los Angeles lost its opener in Australia in ugly fashion, run off the field by San Francisco, 27-7, the kind of result that raises real questions. New York, ...
1 unit on Los Angeles -6.5 (-108)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Kansas City
September 20, 2026
8:20 PM Eastern
Indianapolis got points against Baltimore last week, and it wasn't competitive, with the Colts falling by 18 points despite committing two turnovers of their...
1 unit on Indianapolis +6.5 (-105)
See Full Write Up
Miami at San Francisco
September 20, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
San Francisco looked dominant in its opener, but the receiving corps that takes the field today is missing pieces from that win. Rookie receiver De'Zhaun Str...
1 unit on Miami +13.5 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Seattle at Arizona
September 20, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Seattle is switching quarterbacks today, with Sam Darnold out and Drew Lock starting, and that's the fact that matters most here. But the Seahawks won last w...
1 unit on Seattle -3.5 (-120)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
Washington at Dallas
September 20, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Washington got points on the road against Philadelphia last week, and the Commanders nearly pulled off the outright upset, falling by two after trading point...
1.5 units on Washington +4.5 (-120)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Denver
September 20, 2026
4:05 PM Eastern
Jacksonville's offense looked the part in its opener, scoring 34 points without giving the ball away once, and Denver's defense is coming off a game where it...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 43.5 -133
See Full Write Up
Carolina at Atlanta
September 20, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Carolina allowed 59 points a week ago, the kind of collapse that doesn't happen by accident, and the same defense that surrendered that number takes the fiel...
2 units on Game Total OVER 43.5 -114
See Full Write Up
Cleveland at Tampa Bay
September 20, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Cleveland's defense allowed 34 points a week ago, but Tampa Bay had four turnovers that made it a track meet, losing 33-27 to the Cincinnati Bengals. That ki...
1 unit on Cleveland +9 (-120)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
Green Bay at New York
September 20, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Green Bay's final score against Minnesota looks like a blowout, but the game wasn't decided until the fourth quarter. The Packers led 22-17 with the fourth q...
1 unit on Green Bay -3 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at New England
September 20, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh won on the road in Atlanta a week ago despite converting barely a third of its third downs, finding other ways to put together a 20-13 win. New En...
2 units on Game Total OVER 41.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Week 1 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Arizona at Los Angeles
September 13, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Arizona is starting over in every way that matters: a brand-new coaching staff under Mike LaFleur, hired away from the Rams, and a completely reshuffled quar...
1 unit on Arizona +10.5 (-108)
See Full Write Up
Green Bay at Minnesota
September 13, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Minnesota opens the season by breaking in a new starting quarterback in Kyler Murray, who arrives fresh off his release in Arizona and will take his first sn...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Washington at Philadelphia
September 13, 2026
4:25 PM Eastern
Washington went 5-12 last year, and Philadelphia won the division outright, so the records aren't close, but look at what both offenses are actually facing. ...
1 unit on Washington +6 (-112)
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Pittsburgh
September 13, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh made a big offseason bet on age and continuity, running Aaron Rodgers back for a second season under a brand-new head coach in Mike McCarthy, who ...
1 unit on Atlanta +5.5 (-108)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
Baltimore at Indianapolis
September 13, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Indianapolis opens the season with one of the strangest collapses in recent NFL history: an 8-2 start, the best record in the AFC, undone by a seven-game los...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Buffalo at Houston
September 13, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Houston brings the defense that made a real case as the league's best unit a year ago, and Buffalo counters with a version of itself that looks different at ...
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 45 -107
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Detroit
September 13, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Detroit's offense enters the season ranked among the best units in the league, with Jared Goff running an attack that finished second in scoring punch a year...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
New York at Tennessee
September 13, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Tennessee and New York both finished 3-14 last season, and only one of them enters this opener with real coaching continuity. The Titans fired Brian Callahan...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
New England at Seattle
September 9, 2026
8:20 PM Eastern
The NFL opened this season by sending the last two Super Bowl teams right back at each other, and Seattle's 29-13 win back in February hid just how even thes...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
NFLX Week 4 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Chicago at Tennessee
August 29, 2026
6:00 PM Eastern
Caleb Williams is not playing on Saturday, which puts this game in the hands of Case Keenum, Miller Moss, and Tyson Bagent. Tennessee's quarterback room look...
1 unit on Chicago +145 (moneyline)
See Full Write Up
Arizona at Green Bay
August 28, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams just wrapped a joint practice against each other, and Matt LaFleur has already said the plan is for Jordan Love and Green Bay's starters ...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 38.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Cincinnati at Philadelphia
August 28, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Joe Burrow already sat one preseason game against the Bears, and every signal out of Cincinnati points to him sitting again here, with Zac Taylor on record s...
1 unit on Cincinnati +127 (moneyline)
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Dallas
August 28, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Tyler Shough locked up the Saints’ starting job with his rookie-year finish, and there is no reason for Kellen Moore to expose him in a finale that means not...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
Seattle at Kansas City
August 28, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Kansas City is once again without Patrick Mahomes for most of this one. Andy Reid has not ruled out a series or two to shake the rust off the surgically repa...
1 unit on Seattle +105 (moneyline)
See Full Write Up
New York at New York
August 28, 2026
7:30 PM Eastern
Jaxson Dart and Geno Smith have both locked up their jobs, so do not expect to see much of either quarterback Friday. That leaves this one to the next men up...
1 unit on New York -2.5 (-113)
See Full Write Up
Houston at Carolina
August 28, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Both of these quarterback rooms are compromised in some way heading into Friday. Houston lost Graham Mertz to a season-ending ACL tear in the opener, and has...
1.5 units on Houston PICK (-105)
See Full Write Up
Washington at Baltimore
August 28, 2026
6:00 PM Eastern
Jayden Daniels will not see the field Friday. Dan Quinn has already said the Commanders did their real evaluating of Daniels and the other starters at Wednes...
1.5 units on Washington +3.5 (-115)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
New England at Cleveland
August 27, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Todd Monken and Mike Vrabel struck a mutual agreement before this one: neither Deshaun Watson nor Drake Maye is playing, so this finale belongs entirely to t...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 34.5 +100
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at Buffalo
August 27, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Buffalo is sitting Josh Allen for this one, and head coach Joe Brady has been vague about which other starters will even see the field, citing a short week o...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
NFLX Week 3 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Dallas at Arizona
August 22, 2026
10:00 PM Eastern
I cashed a unit on Dallas's moneyline in the preseason opener last week, and the setup for a repeat looks familiar tonight. Brian Schottenheimer has been blu...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Tampa Bay
August 22, 2026
7:30 PM Eastern
Tampa Bay gets one home date this preseason, and Todd Bowles is running it as it matters. He confirmed this week that Baker Mayfield will play, likely around...
2 units on Kansas City +5.5 (-105)
See Full Write Up
Chicago at Cincinnati
August 22, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Cincinnati is expected to give Joe Burrow another short look tonight, similar to the two series he played last week, before turning things over for good. Chi...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at New England
August 22, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
I had the Patriots total UNDER last week when they tied Indianapolis 13-13 with Drake Maye on the sideline, and tonight looks built different. Maye spent thi...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
New Orleans at Los Angeles
August 22, 2026
4:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans is heading into this one without the group that usually makes me think twice about backing a total this small. Kellen Moore said plainly this wee...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -107
See Full Write Up
New York at Miami
August 22, 2026
4:00 PM Eastern
The Giants have been patching their quarterback room all week, signing Jake Haener after Brandon Allen struggled through the opener and Joe Webb retired outr...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 36 -107
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Indianapolis
August 22, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Kevin Stefanski and Shane Steichen both said the same thing this week: their starters will not play today. Stefanski is sitting Tua Tagovailoa and Atlanta's ...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 36 -107
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at Minnesota
August 22, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Jesse Minter is treating this week's joint practices, not Saturday's game, as the real proving ground for Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, and the rest of Balti...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
Buffalo at Cleveland
August 22, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Joe Brady and Todd Monken struck a similar deal this week: get what they need from the ones in Thursday's joint practice, and lean on the backups once the ga...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Washington at Detroit
August 22, 2026
12:00 PM Eastern
Dan Campbell has never been one to play his starters much in the preseason, and Jared Goff won't be an exception again this afternoon. Detroit's offense runs...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
New York at Pittsburgh
August 21, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Mike McCarthy has already named Will Howard the Steelers' starter tonight, with Drew Allar rotating in behind him. McCarthy said this week he wants to max ou...
1 unit on Game Total OVER 36.5 +100
See Full Write Up
Las Vegas at Houston
August 20, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
I had Arizona as a road underdog against these same Raiders last week, and it cashed outright. Houston is thinning out again tonight. DeMeco Ryans spent the ...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 38.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Free Picks are 263-175 (60%)
Last 16.7 years
Over the last 16.7 years
+98.7 units
NFLX Week 2 Pro Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 25.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
3,231
2,879
+176.22
Dallas at Seattle
August 15, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Dak Prescott is in Schottenheimer's zero-snap tier Saturday, one of twenty-three Dallas starters staying in sweats, which hands this game to Joe Milton and S...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at Baltimore
August 15, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Jalen Hurts hasn't played in a Sirianni-coached preseason game in years, and Saturday won't be the exception, while Lamar Jackson is out for the first time s...
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 35.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at New Orleans
August 15, 2026
4:00 PM Eastern
Trevor Lawrence and Tyler Shough are both sitting out entirely on Saturday, with both coaching staffs using Thursday's joint practice as the real tune-up and...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Los Angeles at Kansas City
August 15, 2026
4:00 PM Eastern
Matthew Stafford isn't tracking to play Saturday, and across the field Patrick Mahomes remains in shutdown mode as he continues to recover from December knee...
Multiple Picks
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
All Picks are 3231-2879 (53%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+176.2 units
Carolina at Buffalo
August 15, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Bryce Young gets his first preseason snaps of the year Saturday afternoon, with Dave Canales committing him to 10-20 reps after Carolina held him out of the ...
1 unit on Carolina +127 (moneyline)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at New York
August 15, 2026
1:00 PM Eastern
Kyler Murray is still getting used to a new offense in Minnesota after Arizona released him and the Vikings scooped him up, and Kevin O'Connell has a track r...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 42.5 -111
See Full Write Up
Miami at Washington
August 14, 2026
7:00 PM Eastern
Tua Tagovailoa is in Atlanta now, and Miami's offense Friday belongs to Malik Willis and Quinn Ewers, with undrafted free agent Cam Miller pushing for reps b...
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 35.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Arizona at Las Vegas
August 13, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Jacoby Brissett makes his first start under a new staff tonight, and Cardinals head coach Mike LaFleur has already capped him at one drive, maybe two, before...
1 unit on Arizona +127 (moneyline)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
Max Plays are 1322-1131 (54%)
Last 25.1 years
Over the last 25.1 years
+146.9 units
Los Angeles at Houston
August 13, 2026
8:00 PM Eastern
Justin Herbert isn't playing tonight, and C.J. Stroud is barely getting more than a look. Jim Harbaugh has roughly fifteen veterans and starters warming up b...
2 units on Game Total OVER 36.5 -108
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at New England
August 13, 2026
7:30 PM Eastern
Daniel Jones isn't playing tonight, and neither is Drake Maye. That's the headline out of the Colts-Patriots preseason opener, and it tells me nearly everyth...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -104
See Full Write Up
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