This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 09, 2026 at 11:57AM ET.
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Buffalo at Minnesota

November 9, 2026
img8:15 PM Eastern

Buffalo held a banged-up Baltimore team to 10 points and 144 yards in last week's 36-10 win, and now the Bills face the league's top-scoring defense. Minnesota has given up 93 points in seven games, 13.3 a game, the fewest in the NFL. Buffalo has scored on 43 of 70 drives and reached 30 points in five of seven games. The Vikings' run defense is better early. It allows 3.8 yards per carry to running backs in the first half, 12th in the league, and 5.3 after halftime, 29th. James Cook and a ground game averaging 148.4 yards get the tougher version of that front in the opening 30 minutes. Minnesota also brings heavy blitz pressure into a Buffalo line where Dion Dawkins did not practice all week. He and Alec Anderson were both listed as questionable on Saturday's report, and receiver Joshua Palmer is out. The Vikings offer little on the other side. Carson Wentz starts with Kyler Murray and Jauan Jennings ruled out. Minnesota averages 20 points a game, 27th in the league, and 165.6 passing yards a game. Buffalo's defense allows 92.6 passing yards a game in the first half, 11th in the league, at 6.2 yards per attempt, ninth. With Wentz facing that and Josh Allen facing the blitz, I like the first-half UNDER tonight. 

1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 22.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Buffalo Bills img
3
7
3
10
23
Minnesota Vikings
0
6
0
0
6
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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