Seattle hosts the Chargers today with 31 points at Arizona behind it, a 31-7 win I had two weeks ago laying the points, and 31 again last Sunday in a 33-31 loss at Washington. Sam Darnold threw for 379 yards and four touchdowns in that one, and Seattle's passing game is fifth in the league at 276.0 yards a game. Los Angeles allows 25.3 points a game, 20th, and it will have Derwin James and Donte Jackson, both questionable, in a secondary facing that attack. The Chargers' own offense is the reason to lean low: it scores 14.7 points a game, 29th, and put up 14, 14, and 16 in its three losses. But Seattle allowed 33 at Washington, so Los Angeles will not need much more than it has shown to push the total, and the Seahawks' offense can supply most of it alone. I'm on the OVER.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 02, 2026 at 9:58AM ET.
Los Angeles at Seattle
October 4, 2026
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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