Indianapolis opens the season with one of the strangest collapses in recent NFL history: an 8-2 start, the best record in the AFC, undone by a seven-game losing streak that began the moment Daniel Jones went down with a season-ending Achilles injury in Week 14. Jones is back, has called himself fully ready, and Shane Steichen returns as head coach, running the same system built around Jonathan Taylor and a physical ground game. Baltimore arrives from the opposite direction. The Ravens finished 8-9 last year, their first losing season since 2021, and let go of John Harbaugh two days after it ended. Jesse Minter takes over as head coach for his first regular-season game, installing new coordinators on both sides of the ball in a true road opener against a team with something to prove. New systems rarely execute cleanly in the first week of the season, and Indianapolis's ability to control the clock on the ground works against a fast, high-scoring pace. Take Indianapolis with the points, and take the UNDER on the total.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on September 11, 2026 at 12:22PM ET.
Baltimore at Indianapolis
September 13, 2026
1.5 units on Indianapolis +3.5 (-108) (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 48.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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