Why use free NFL picks from a pro handicapper
The reality of sports betting is it's extremely difficult. Sportsbooks are cutthroat and stack the odds in their favor. They benefit from overconfident sports fans who think they can predict the outcome.
The harsh reality is that most people don't have the time or skills to beat the sportsbooks, so 99% of sports bettors lose.
Use my free NFL picks and premium picks to win more.
Free NFL computer picks vs. free NFL premium picks
Free Computer Picks
If you’re going to handicap for yourself and make your own NFL picks, analytics are critical. However, most people aren’t going to make their own model.
I’ve created and honed a model that generates data-informed picks for every NFL game.
Computer picks will never be as good as premium picks because they don’t take into account injuries, psychology, and historical betting systems.
If you’re going to do your own NFL picks, computer picks are a necessary piece of the puzzle, but simply betting computer picks blindly isn’t sufficient to win.
Free Premium Picks
Every free NFL pick I provide through my email newsletter is one of my valuable premium picks.
In contrast to free computer picks, my free premium picks take into account all of the factors necessary to win. This includes computer analytics, models, and many other data points and relevant considerations to increase the chance of winning.
Is there any betting value in free picks?
Yes, with a caveat.
There’s value in betting free premium picks. There’s much less value in a pick that’s not a premium pick.
Some handicappers toss out lower-value picks for free picks. These don’t include their reasoning behind the pick, and they aren’t telling their paying subscribers to place the same bet—it’s a throwaway pick.
There is tremendous betting value if you’re getting one of the handicapper’s premium picks for free.
These are high-quality picks that will have a good chance of winning, and you’re getting a glimpse into what you purchase. And the results of those picks are counted in the handicapper’s official record.
All of my free picks are premium picks. I give out one free premium pick each week for the NFL with my free picks subscription.
Why do I give NFL picks for free?
Good question!
Why would I give something out for free - especially something as valuable as one of my official premium picks?
The NFL picks I give for free are premium picks that I provide to my paying subscribers.
I provide a sample of my premium picks every week because I know it can be hard to trust handicappers, and I want people to be able to sample my best picks ahead of purchasing my handicapping packages.
When you see my detailed analysis that accompanies my free premium picks, and when you see how much they win, I believe you’ll be more likely to give one of my paid packages a try.
And, you can bet with my free premium picks for as long as you like. You’ll get no pressure from me. I’m here when you’re ready to buy a premium picks package.
Wunderdog Free NFL Picks
You can find free football picks across the web, but none rival what I provide. It’s what I do best!
The NFL is my bread and butter. I pride myself on having the best long-term NFL record of any expert handicapper.
No NFL handicapper wins more than I do. It’s a bold statement, but I make it because it’s true. I take pride in my ability to sniff out the "dogs" that deliver the most profit for my clients, increasing profits for my clients over the course of a season.
NFL betting philosophy
My NFL betting philosophy is based on these three things:
- History repeats itself. With my extensive databases going back over 25 years, I comb the data to map historical situations over current information to predict outcomes better.
- Human nature is difficult to discern and predict but it’s critical in making winning NFL picks. I consider the psychology of players, coaches, and the betting public.
- The value in betting the NFL usually lies in being contrarian.
This often leads to me finding value on the underdog. Fun fact: this is why I named my company Wunderdog Sports.
My NFL underdog picks aren’t just focused on the spread. I also look for teams with a strong chance of winning the game outright. Selectively taking underdogs on the moneyline can result in big paydays that set you up nicely for the entire season.
Track record
Any experienced sports bettor or bookmaker will tell you that the NFL is the hardest sport to beat - hands down. Why? It’s the most popular sport to bet in the United States, so oddsmakers know that if they make a mistake, they can get hammered.
Making a mistake on a WNBA game in July isn’t going to hurt them or cost them their jobs. Offering a bad line on an NFL game can be catastrophic.
So, the lines are sharp to begin with. And, if a bad line is put up, it’s hammered into place instantly by sharp bettors. So, the NFL is very hard to beat. But I do it. Consistently.
There is no one better at betting the NFL. Period. I have won many awards for accuracy from the National Score Prediction League over my 20+ years. ESPN’s Chad Millman called me, “One of the years’ top sharps” based on my NFL handicapping.
Here are just a few of my stats:
- While nearly every novice and pro loses in the NFL, I’ve won five out of the last seven seasons (71%) for a net bankroll gain of +$86,750.
- I’ve won six of the last seven NFL preseasons for a bankroll gain of $42,620.
- I am unmatched in the Super Bowl, having correctly called the main game outcome in 14 of the last 15 Super Bowls.
- Overall in the NFL in my professional career, I have won 13 out of 21 seasons (62%) for a bankroll gain of $189,240.
I am the only handicapper that allows his entire record to be seen and verified. I challenge you to be able to verify any record that any other handicapper claims.In contrast, I have posted every single pick I have ever made on my website.
Every week, the picks are uploaded where you can view every win and loss for yourself. Nothing is ever hidden.
All of my past NFL picks can be viewed here.
Types of free NFL picks I provide
Here are the types of free NFL picks you can expect from me:
Against the Spread Picks
Sportsbooks offer a way to even out the odds when good teams are playing bad ones by setting a spread on the game.
Favorites must “give” points to underdogs to make it a fair bet on both sides. (read more about this here).
Through my paid premium picks service and free premium picks, I provide betting advice on which teams to bet on against the Vegas spread. After the sportsbooks “even out” the teams, I tell you which side to bet on, with a detailed analysis and reasons why the bet makes sense.
Moneyline Picks
Don't want to have to worry about the point spread? Just want to pick the winner, and that's it?
That's what the
moneyline is all about. Moneyline bets allow you to bet on which team will win without regard to the margin of victory.
When betting on favorites, you have to risk more than you win, and when betting on underdogs, you win more than you risk if your team pulls off the upset.
I offer moneyline NFL picks, usually on underdogs.
Over/Under Picks
Betting on the Total of a game allows you to have a rooting interest in the total points scored by both teams.
You can bet either "over" or "under" the posted total.
When betting over/unders it doesn't matter which team wins or by how many points. All that matters is whether the total points scored by both NFL teams exceed or fall short of what the oddsmakers predicted.
I offer over/under recommendations with my free and premium NFL picks.
NFL Office Pool Picks
These pools don't usually have anything to do with point spreads or totals but rather focus strictly on predicting the winner of every game each week.
Office Pools typically require the participant to predict the winner of all games and rank them in priority order based on confidence. This is why these are sometimes referred to as NFL Confidence Pools. I offer a product that does all the work for you.
I use my algorithms and betting knowledge to predict the outcome of all games, ranking them from most likely to least likely.
Weekly NFL Picks
I offer regular season weekly NFL picks with detailed analysis and reasoning.
For each week of the regular season, I analyze every game, taking into account many factors. I utilize statistical analysis, injuries, trends, bettor behavior, and hundreds of historical situations to predict winners against the spread, on the moneyilne, and over/under the total.
Pre-Season Picks
Can you make money in the NFL pre-season? Hell yeah! It's a great way to build your bankroll for the upcoming season. I excel at
winning in the NFL pre-season because I track history extensively. Coaching tendencies and motivation based on past season performance are just two of the predictive angles I use for the pre-season.
Playoffs Picks
The NFL playoffs are a different animal than the regular season. While being contrarian and going with underdogs is often more profitable in the NFL regular season,
betting the NFL playoffs requires a shift in gears. The cream rises to the top in the playoffs, where the stakes are higher, and the best players and coaches are competing.
Super Bowl Picks
There is no better betting opportunity than betting the Super Bowl. Why? Because I have more success betting on this big game than any other type of bet.
I am unmatched in my
Super Bowl betting prowess. I almost always get the winner correct. But on top of that, the Super Bowl offers a slew of other fantastic betting opportunities through props.
Super Bowl props are bets on obscure outcomes in the game. Since it's such a big game and there are two weeks to prepare, oddsmakers put out hundreds of prop bets. And since they only do this once per year and cater to a betting public that is generally clueless, they make many mistakes - mistakes they don't make on other games.
Tools for NFL bets
While my
free premium picks will give you the best chance to win, I realize you may want to do it yourself. Looking for self-help tools to help in making your own NFL picks? I’ve got you covered.
Consensus
Knowing who the betting public favors can help you by knowing if your hunch is something others agree with or not. A popular betting strategy is to “fade the public” by going the opposite way of the masses. While this doesn’t work blindly, it can be an arrow in your quiver.
Check out my NFL consensus data
Lines and Odds
Want to see up-to-the-minute lines and odds for the upcoming NFL games? My
NFL lines and odds page gives you all the data you need for full-game, first-quarter, and first-half betting, including spreads, moneylines, and totals.
Where to Bet
Once you have decided on your final bets, you need to place them. Check out my
recommended sportsbooks. Here you can find out who I trust and lock in the best sign-up bonuses.
Take the guessing out of sports betting.
Take my premium picks for a test drive (for life if you want).
Sign up to receive my free NFL football predictions directly to your inbox, so you never miss a winning pick.
With each pick, I’ll provide clear, concise reasoning behind why I made the pick I did.
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