In my 22 years in business, I've released 5,159 premium NFL Football picks to my paying clients.

I show every single one here - the good, the bad, and the ugly - because I value 100% transparency regarding my pick results.

These pages verify the results I promote match the picks I release.

Season:
Week:

Week 3 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
Los Angeles at Cincinnati September 25, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern Joe Burrow will be a game-time decision on whether he plays or not, but even if he does he clearly is not close to 100 percent healthy as he continues to dea... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay September 25, 2023 img 7:15 PM Eastern There's a lot of defensive talent on both sides in this Monday Night battle. Philadelphia's defense has 4 sacks after leading the league with 70 last year, p... 1 unit on Game Total UNDER 45 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Pittsburgh at Las Vegas September 24, 2023 img 8:20 PM Eastern Here is a coaching mismatch for the ages as Mike Tomlin has not had a losing season in his 17 years with Pittsburgh and Josh McDaniels has lost 30 of his pas... 2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-115) See Full Write Upimg
Chicago at Kansas City September 24, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern The Chicago Bears have had a tumultuous week and getting big points against the Super Bowl champions, but the Chiefs have averaged just 18.5 points their fir... 2 units on Chicago +13 (-120) See Full Write Upimg
Dallas at Arizona September 24, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern Arizona will be in a foul mood after blowing a 21-point third quarter lead and losing 31-28 to the Giants in Week 2. The Cardinals have won and covered six o... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Carolina at Seattle September 24, 2023 img 4:05 PM Eastern Carolina's defense keeps them in games as they come off a 20-17 loss to New Orleans. The defense is eighth in yards allowed, fourth against the pass, and Top... 1.5 units on Carolina +6.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Atlanta at Detroit September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern The Lions finished strong last season but fell short of the playoffs. This season is supposed to be the year the Lions make it to the playoffs as a rising te... 1.5 units on Atlanta +3.5 (-114) See Full Write Upimg
Buffalo at Washington September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Washington appears to have a good young quarterback in Sam Howell as he threw for 299 yards and two TDs and the Commanders rallied from an 18-point deficit t... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Denver at Miami September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Denver has lost two games by a total of three points and almost pulled out a win against Washington last week before losing 35-33 on a failed 2-point converi... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Houston at Jacksonville September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Houston QB C.J. Stroud is a game manager who has 2 TDs and no interceptions through the first two games. And the Houston defense is 11th in the NFL in total ... 2 units on Houston +9 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Los Angeles at Minnesota September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Los Angeles could and should be 2-0, but the Chargers lost to Miami in the final two minutes and then lost 27-24 in overtime to Tennessee. Justin Herbert thr... 2 units on Los Angeles +1.5 (-115) See Full Write Upimg
New Orleans at Green Bay September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Jordan Love has been as good as Green Bay could hope through two games. His completion percentage is low, but he has thrown for six TDs and has yet to throw ... 1.5 units on New Orleans +2 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Tennessee at Cleveland September 24, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Cleveland's got some impressive overall stats, including No. 1 in the NFL in rushing. However, they're 1-1. They've been underachieving (and overvalued) for ... 2 units on Tennessee +3.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
New York at San Francisco September 21, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern New York got some much-needed momentum heading into this game by overcoming a 21-point third-quarter deficit and defeating Arizona 31-28 when Graham Gano kic... 2 units on New York +10.5 (-105) See Full Write Upimg

Week 2 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
Cleveland at Pittsburgh September 18, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern Pittsburgh has won 23 of 25 home games against the Browns and the Steelers are a slight underdog in this matchup and Mike Tomlin is 49-29 ATS in his career w... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
New Orleans at Carolina September 18, 2023 img 7:15 PM Eastern The past five meetings have gone UNDER by an average of 14 points and New Orleans stayed UNDER for the seventh consecutive game dating to last season with it... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Miami at New England September 17, 2023 img 8:20 PM Eastern Tua Tagovailoa completed 28 of 45 for 466 yards and the game still went down to the final two minutes as he threw a 4-yard pass to Tyreek Hill in the right c... 2 units on New England +3 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
New York at Dallas September 17, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern The NFL buzz has been on the injury to QB Aaron Rodgers. But New York has an experienced backup in Zach Wilson (22 starts). He was 14-of-21 passing in the op... 1.5 units on New York +9.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Washington at Denver September 17, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern Sam Howell was sacked six times in his NFL debut, but he persevered and threw a touchdown pass and ran for a score as Washington defeated Arizona 20-16. Howe... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
New York at Arizona September 17, 2023 img 4:05 PM Eastern Historically NFL defenses are ahead of the offenses in September. It takes time, practice, and chemistry to get a rhythm going between QBs, receivers, and of... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 See Full Write Upimg
San Francisco at Los Angeles September 17, 2023 img 4:05 PM Eastern San Francisco has one of the most talented defenses in the NFL. They shut down Pittsburgh on the road in the opener, 30-7, giving up 239 total yards, includi... 1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 45 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Baltimore at Cincinnati September 17, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Two outstanding defenses clash in a divisional rivalry. Baltimore's defense was Top 10 in yards and points allowed last season, as well as fourth on third do... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 46.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Chicago at Tampa Bay September 17, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Chicago QB Justin Fields admitted he played too conservatively in his team's 38-20 loss to Green Bay and plans to take more shots down the field against a de... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Kansas City at Jacksonville September 17, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern The Kansas City Chiefs were missing a lot of key players in their opener and it showed. The Chiefs lost a tough one to the Detroit Lions 21-20. Jacksonville ... 1 unit on Kansas City -3 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Las Vegas at Buffalo September 17, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern The Buffalo Bills had a good measuring stick game to open the season vs. the NY Jets. It was supposed to be Aaron Rodger's day, turned out to be the Jet's bi... 1 unit on Game Total UNDER 47 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Seattle at Detroit September 17, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Detroit hasn't beaten the Seahawks since 2012 and Seattle has covered the spread the past four meetings, including last year's 48-45 win as a 3-point underdo... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Minnesota at Philadelphia September 14, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern The Minnesota offense outgained Tampa Bay 369-242, and Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards and two TDs while Justin Jefferson had nine catches for 150 yards, bu... 1.5 units on Minnesota +6.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg

Week 1 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
Buffalo at New York September 11, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern The teams split their two meetings in 2022 although New York covered the spread in both and both games easily stayed UNDER the total and the UNDER is 6-2 the... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Dallas at New York September 10, 2023 img 8:20 PM Eastern New York enjoyed its first winning season since 2016 and Brian Daboll was named NFL Coach of the Year as the Giants finished 9-7-1 and made the playoffs. Dan... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Green Bay at Chicago September 10, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern A battle of kid quarterbacks. QB Jordan Love replaces Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. Love has one career NFL start, just 83 passes, and the team let wide receiv... 1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 44.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Las Vegas at Denver September 10, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern Las Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels prefers the wide-open spread attack he ran in New England. With Derek Carr gone, he gets a signal caller who knows the Pa... 2 units on Las Vegas +3.5 (-107) See Full Write Upimg
Los Angeles at Seattle September 10, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS the past nine meetings with Seattle, including the last five and the Seahawks had to go into overtime to put away the Rams and gain a ... 2 units on Los Angeles +5.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Miami at Los Angeles September 10, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern Miami has a talented all-around roster with an offense led by QB Tua Tagovailoa and dynamic playmaker Tyreek Hill. The defense was fourth against the run las... 1.5 units on Miami +3 (-109) See Full Write Upimg
Philadelphia at New England September 10, 2023 img 4:25 PM Eastern New England is pinning its hopes on Bill O'Brien, who returns for his second stint as offensive coordinator with the Patriots, and who is expected to mentor ... 2 units on New England +5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Arizona at Washington September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Arizona has a new coach in former Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon and it is expected to be a tough challenge with Kyler Murray still out and DeA... 2 units on Arizona +7 (-106) See Full Write Upimg
Carolina at Atlanta September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Carolina upgraded the offense with QB Bryce Young from Alabama and the defense has talent to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. The defense took a step b... 1 unit on Carolina +3.5 (-108) See Full Write Upimg
Cincinnati at Cleveland September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Joe Burrow is expected to start for Cincinnati, but he still is battling a calf strain and that could hamper him against the Browns, who have won eight of th... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Jacksonville at Indianapolis September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Indianapolis will have a new starting quarterback for the eighth straight year in Week 1, but the Colts think they have hit pay dirt with Anthony Richardson,... 2 units on Indianapolis +5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
San Francisco at Pittsburgh September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Mike Tomlin did another superior coaching job last season and avoided what would have been his first losing season and Pittsburgh won six of its last seven g... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Tampa Bay at Minnesota September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Tampa Bay's offense is in transition and opens the new campaign on the road. QB Baker Mayfield has replaced Tom Brady and they have a new offensive coordinat... 1 unit on Minnesota -5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Tennessee at New Orleans September 10, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Tennessee started 7-3 last year before injuries wore them down. The offense will be fine with veteran QB Ryan Tannehill, power back Derrick Henry, and new WR... 1.5 units on Tennessee +3.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Detroit at Kansas City September 7, 2023 img 8:20 PM Eastern The Detroit Lions finally turned a corner with a winning record last year. They were one of only five NFC teams that had a positive point differential (+26).... 1 unit on Detroit +5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg

NFLX Week 3 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
Houston at New Orleans August 27, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Houston has split its first two games and both went UNDER by an average of 7.5 points. The Texans won and covered all three preseason games in 2022, but they... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Las Vegas at Dallas August 26, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Las Vegas coach Josh McDaniels hasn't had much success in the regular season, but he 6-0 straight up and ATS in preseason in his two years with the Raiders a... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Baltimore at Tampa Bay August 26, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern It took a last-second field goal to finally break Baltimore's incredible preseason 24-game win streak as it lost 29-28 to Washington in Week 2. However, the ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Miami at Jacksonville August 26, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Miami has easily gone UNDER its first two games scoring three points in Week 1 and then allowing only three in Week 2 when it beat Houston 28-3. Skylar Thomp... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Cincinnati at Washington August 26, 2023 img 6:05 PM Eastern Washington is riding high after ending Baltimore's 24-game preseason win streak as Sam Howell made a good impression and earned the starting role for the reg... 1 unit on Washington -3 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
New York at New York August 26, 2023 img 6:00 PM Eastern Aaron Rodgers will make his first appearance in a preseason game since 2018 as he'll try to get in some work with his new team and offensive line. Tim Boyle ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Arizona at Minnesota August 26, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern This is the first preseason road game for Arizona. Kyler Murray is still out so QBs Colt McCoy, Clayton Tune, and David Blough are behind center - and they c... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 38.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Buffalo at Chicago August 26, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern We haven't seen Buffalo in the Super Bowl in a long while, but it wouldn't be a surprise to see them break through soon. The talent and depth are outstanding... 2 units on Buffalo -2.5 (-120) See Full Write Upimg
Cleveland at Kansas City August 26, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Kansas City has split its first two preseason games after defeating Arizona 38-10 in Week 2 and the Chiefs illustrated their quarterback depth with Blaine Ga... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Seattle at Green Bay August 26, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern This is the first preseason road game for Seattle. They have little to prove after home victories over Minnesota and Dallas. QB Geno Smith won't play much, i... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Los Angeles at San Francisco August 25, 2023 img 10:00 PM Eastern Los Angeles went with Easton Stick in preseason Week 2 and he completed 21 of 41 for 233 yards although he was picked off twice. Stick did rush for 63 yards ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
New England at Tennessee August 25, 2023 img 8:15 PM Eastern New England has more defensive depth and talent than on offense. Over their last five preseason games, the Patriots defense has allowed 14 points per game. A... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Detroit at Carolina August 25, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Carolina didn't win against the New York Giants in Week 2, but the Panthers did get the money covering as a 3-point underdog and Bryce Young got some more pl... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Indianapolis at Philadelphia August 24, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Philadelphia will have two extra days after an 18-18 tie against Cleveland last Thursday, and Indianapolis beat Chicago 24-17 two days later. The Eagles surv... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Pittsburgh at Atlanta August 24, 2023 img 7:30 PM Eastern Atlanta put on another impressive defensive performance and now has allowed only 16 points its first two preseason games after tying Cincinnati, 13-13, last ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg

NFLX Week 2 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
Baltimore at Washington August 21, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Baltimore won its 24th preseason game in a row after hanging on and beating Philadelphia 20-19 when the Eagles failed to convert a two-point conversion. The ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
New Orleans at Los Angeles August 20, 2023 img 7:05 PM Eastern The teams have been having joint practices this week where the starters have been getting in some work, but most won't play in this game. Derek Carr may play... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -108 See Full Write Upimg
Dallas at Seattle August 19, 2023 img 10:00 PM Eastern Dallas is 11-4 UNDER its past 15 preseason games and Seattle is 7-4 UNDER its past 11. The Cowboys have been having several fights in their practices so appa... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Las Vegas at Los Angeles August 19, 2023 img 9:00 PM Eastern Las Vegas upgraded the defense in the offseason with safety Marcus Epps, LB Robert Spillane, and cornerback Brandon Facyson, plus drafting defensive end Tyre... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -118 See Full Write Upimg
Denver at San Francisco August 19, 2023 img 8:30 PM Eastern Denver lost a close 18-17 game to Arizona, which scored with two seconds left when David Blough hit Brian Cobbs for an 18-yard touchdown pass. New coach Sean... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Kansas City at Arizona August 19, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Andy Reid has never cared for wins and losses during preseason, only player evaluation and keeping stars healthy. He's not going to risk an injury to the bes... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 41 -110 See Full Write Upimg
New England at Green Bay August 19, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern New England showed nothing offensively in the opener, but time is running short so it's time to open things up. They scored 20 points in Week 2 last August a... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Tennessee at Minnesota August 19, 2023 img 8:00 PM Eastern Minnesota lost to Seattle 24-13 in Week 1 and that isn't surprising as Kevin O'Connell apparently doesn't care too much about preseason matchups as the Vikin... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Tampa Bay at New York August 19, 2023 img 7:30 PM Eastern New York couldn't have asked for a better showing for a Week 1 game as the Jets demolished Carolina 27-0 with Zach Wilson throwing for 123 yards on 14 of 23 ... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Chicago at Indianapolis August 19, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Justin Fields threw two touchdown passes on Chicago's first two drives, and the Bears defeated Tennessee 23-17 in Week 1. Three backups then took over and Na... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Buffalo at Pittsburgh August 19, 2023 img 6:30 PM Eastern The Bills beat Indianapolis 23-19 with Matt Barkley finishing 14-for-15 for 172 yards and two touchdowns and Kyle Allen went 8-for-15 and 122 yards with an i... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Miami at Houston August 19, 2023 img 4:00 PM Eastern Houston comes off a 20-9 win over New England despite a rough outing by C.J. Stroud in his first game with the Texans. Stroud played two series and went 2 of... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Jacksonville at Detroit August 19, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Jacksonville comes off a 28-23 win over Dallas as Trevor Lawrence was 5 of 6 for 36 yards. The Jaguars played their offensive starters for three series. The ... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Cincinnati at Atlanta August 18, 2023 img 7:30 PM Eastern Cincinnati's offense has nothing to prove in this preseason. They want to keep star QB Joe Burrow healthy and the backups are below-average with Trevor Siemi... 2 units on Game Total UNDER 38.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Carolina at New York August 18, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Game of the Month: Carolina is out to redeem itself after getting thouroughly beaten by the Jets, 27-0 in Week 1. Bryce Young can only get better after compl... 2 units on Carolina +3 (-105) See Full Write Upimg
Cleveland at Philadelphia August 17, 2023 img 7:30 PM Eastern Cleveland lost a low-scoring game to Washington, 17-15, in the team's second preseason game last week. DeShaun Watson was 3 of 3 for 12 yards and led the Bro... 1 unit on Cleveland +4 (-110) See Full Write Upimg

NFLX Week 1 Premium Picks

NFL
Last 22.0 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2675
2366
+191.76
San Francisco at Las Vegas August 13, 2023 img 4:00 PM Eastern San Francisco has an experienced August QB rotation with Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, and Sam Darnold. In Week 1 of the preseason last August, the 49ers topped G... 1.5 units on Game Total OVER 36.5 -103 See Full Write Upimg
Los Angeles at Los Angeles August 12, 2023 img 9:00 PM Eastern The Los Angeles Chargers have more offensive talent than on the defensive side. In the 2022 preseason, the Chargers allowed an average of 29.3 points per gam... Multiple Picks See Full Write Upimg
Philadelphia at Baltimore August 12, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Nothing has been as close to automatic in the preseason as John Harbaugh and the Baltimore Ravens as they have won a record 23 in a row and 28 of their past ... 2 units on Baltimore -6 (-105) See Full Write Upimg
Jacksonville at Dallas August 12, 2023 img 5:00 PM Eastern Jacksonville coach Doug Pederson didn't care much about the preseason in his first year as the Jaguars went 0-4 and didn't cover the spread in any of them. H... 1 unit on Dallas +4.5 (-109) See Full Write Upimg
New York at Carolina August 12, 2023 img 4:00 PM Eastern New York has more defensive depth and talent than offensive punch. QB Aaron Rodgers was the big offseason acquisition, but they're not going to risk getting ... 1 unit on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110 See Full Write Upimg
Indianapolis at Buffalo August 12, 2023 img 1:00 PM Eastern Buffalo coach Sean McDermott has won 12 of 18 preseason games with a 12-6 ATS mark, including 9-1 straight up and ATS the past three preseasons. Kyle Allen w... 2 units on Buffalo +5.5 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Atlanta at Miami August 11, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Mike McDaniel went 2-1 straight up and ATS in his first preseason, including a 48-10 rout of Philadelphia in the finale, and then did a great coaching job in... 2 units on Miami +2.5 (-105) See Full Write Upimg
Green Bay at Cincinnati August 11, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Where have you gone, Aaron Rodgers? To the Big Apple! That means the Packers have unproven QBs Jordan Love and rookie Sean Clifford to run the offense. They ... 1 unit on Cincinnati +4.5 (-109) See Full Write Upimg
New York at Detroit August 11, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern The pressure was on New York coach Brian Daboll last year as a newcomer and his team overachieved in making the playoffs. They even impressed in preseason wi... 1 unit on Detroit +3 (-110) See Full Write Upimg
Pittsburgh at Tampa Bay August 11, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin has a winning spread record during preseason and the Steelers have won 15 of their last 19 August tilts. Despite new quarterback... 1 unit on Pittsburgh -1 (-105) See Full Write Upimg
Minnesota at Seattle August 10, 2023 img 10:00 PM Eastern Minnesota makes a long trip to the northwest for its preseason debut. Starting QB Kirk Cousins is very good but they won't risk playing him much (or at all) ... 1.5 units on Seattle -4.5 (-105) See Full Write Upimg
Houston at New England August 10, 2023 img 7:00 PM Eastern New England has nothing to prove in this opener. A year ago, the Patriots opened at home in Week 1 of the preseason and lost to the Giants, 23-21, getting ou... 1 unit on Houston -3.5 (-105) See Full Write Upimg

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