This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 16, 2026 at 11:29AM ET.
img NFL

Los Angeles at Kansas City

October 18, 2026
img4:25 PM Eastern

The Chargers lost 23-17 to Denver last Sunday, their fifth straight loss to open the season, and their defense has given up 26, 26, 24, 30, and 23 points in those five games. I had the OVER when they lost 30-23 at Seattle on October 4, and it cashed. Kansas City has scored 31 against Denver, 33 against Indianapolis, 24 at Miami and 30 at Las Vegas, so its offense has reached 24 or more in each of its four games. Chargers defensive backs Derwin James Jr. and Donte Jackson missed practice Wednesday and Thursday with hamstring injuries, which matters for a defense that has not held anyone under 23. Kansas City wide receiver Rashee Rice missed practice both days with a hamstring and knee injury, and wide receiver Tyquan Thornton, who caught two touchdowns at Las Vegas, is on injured reserve with a dislocated ankle. The Chargers have scored 14, 14, 16, 23, and 17, and their offensive line is missing tackle Rashawn Slater and center Tyler Biadasz, both on injured reserve, while tackle Joe Alt did not practice either day. Take the OVER in Kansas City on Sunday afternoon.

1 unit on Game Total OVER 40.5 -113 (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Chargers
3
0
3
0
6
Kansas City Chiefs img
9
10
0
3
22
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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