Atlanta at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh made a big offseason bet on age and continuity, running Aaron Rodgers back for a second season under a brand-new head coach in Mike McCarthy, who takes over after Mike Tomlin's abrupt departure ended a 19-year run. Rodgers was middling last season by advanced efficiency measures, and a full coaching change usually costs a team some execution in the first week of the season no matter who is at quarterback. Atlanta counters with Tua Tagovailoa under center after signing him as competition for Michael Penix Jr., and while the passing game is unproven in Kevin Stefanski's system, the Falcons still bring a stout defensive front that can make Pittsburgh's own operation look just as shaky. Getting more than a field goal with two teams this uncertain is the right side of the number in a spot the market has priced as a clean Pittsburgh advantage. Take Atlanta on the spread.