In my 23 years in business, I've released 5,591 premium NFL Football picks to my paying clients.
I show every single one here - the good, the bad, and the ugly - because I value 100% transparency regarding my pick results.
These pages verify the results I promote match the picks I release.
Season:
Week:
Super Bowl Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Indianapolis at Chicago
February 4, 2007
6:20 PM Eastern
Your pick in this game should come down to your personal answer to one very important question. Do you believe history will repeat itself? If you do, you sho...
4 units on Chicago +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Conference Finals Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
New England at Indianapolis
January 21, 2007
6:30 PM Eastern
here we are again Indianapolis and New England. These teams have made the playoffs their home over the last several years, but with much different resu...
3 units on New England +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New England at Indianapolis
January 21, 2007
6:30 PM Eastern
This line started at three and has been juiced up heavily as the money comes in on the Colts. As of this writing, you can get the Pats +3 for +105 and by gam...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 47.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New England at Indianapolis
January 21, 2007
6:30 PM Eastern
This line started at three and has been juiced up heavily as the money comes in on the Colts. As of this writing, you can get the Pats +3 for +105 and by gam...
4 units on New England +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Chicago
January 21, 2007
3:00 PM Eastern
These teams were the favorites to get to this round, unlike the AFC where the top 2 teams both got knocked off. New Orleans has been a great story. The seaso...
3 units on New Orleans +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Divisional Playoffs Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
New England at Los Angeles
January 14, 2007
4:30 PM Eastern
The Chargers bring in a 14-2 record into this game. All season long they have been a team that has steamrolled through their competition. They have a high oc...
3 units on New England +5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Seattle at Chicago
January 14, 2007
1:00 PM Eastern
Let's get this out of the way quickly: Seattle is awful. OK, maybe not awful compared to the teams staying home for the postseason. But, compared to the play...
4 units on Chicago -8.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at New Orleans
January 13, 2007
8:00 PM Eastern
Let us take you back to week three of this season on Monday night, September 25th. The New Orleans Saints were hosting the Falcons in the first home game in ...
4 units on New Orleans -5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Baltimore
January 13, 2007
4:30 PM Eastern
This is a classic match-up of offense vs. defense for the right to advance to the AFC Championship game. The Colts, while not the offensive juggernaut o...
5 units on Baltimore -4 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Wildcard Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
New York at New England
January 7, 2007
1:00 PM Eastern
The Jets have had one of those overachieving seasons. While we predicted in August that they would eclipse the 6-win mark, we didn't think they'd win 10 game...
5 units on New England -8.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Seattle
January 6, 2007
8:00 PM Eastern
There are a couple of reasons why you see Dallas as an underdog in this game. First, it is a road game for them. Second, they looked downright horr...
5 units on Dallas +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Indianapolis
January 6, 2007
4:30 PM Eastern
We feel there is tremendous line value in this game. All you hear about is how the Colts, 3-4 in their last seven games, can't stop the run. It is true....
4 units on Indianapolis -7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 17 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Green Bay at Chicago
December 31, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
Chicago at home laying just 3 points? Of course it is because they have home field locked up and Green Bay may have something to play for here. Green Bay is ...
3 units on Chicago -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Kansas City
December 31, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Jacksonville owns the league's #2 defense (yards) and is #4 in points allowed. Kansas City is ranked 9th in points allowed at 19 per game. At home they are a...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
December 31, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Will this be Bill Cowher's last game as a Steelers coach after 15 years? Maybe. If it is, do you think his players want to send him off on a winning note? We...
5 units on Pittsburgh +6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
St. Louis at Minnesota
December 31, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We faded St. Louis in a big way a few weeks ago on Monday night when they were getting 6.5 points from the Bears. If you recall that pick, we talked about ho...
5 units on Minnesota +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
New York at Washington
December 30, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
The Giants are favored here but we think they lose this game. That team is an utter mess. The coach is gone after this season and everyone knows it. He has n...
4 units on Washington +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 16 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
New York at Miami
December 25, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
This line opened at -1 and has climbed to -2.5. Not a big difference really unless it hit -3. We like the side that is getting the action. Miami has been an ...
3 units on Miami -2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at Dallas
December 25, 2006
5:00 PM Eastern
The Romo/Dallas hype machine has been very up and down since Tony took over the QB reigns eight weeks ago. It hit its peak two weeks ago after Romo had led D...
3 units on Philadelphia +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Houston
December 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Colts were completely exposed at Jacksonville two weeks ago and last Monday everyone wondered how they could stop the run vs. Cinncinati and keep the Ben...
4 units on Houston +9.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New England at Jacksonville
December 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This is a big game for Jacksonville as they try to keep their playoff hopes alive. A loss here will pretty much seal their fate. New England has done superb ...
3 units on Jacksonville -2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Tampa Bay at Cleveland
December 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
What an interesting game to watch! We can't understand why this isn't the top primetime matchup of the weekend! Well, ok - it's gotta be the worst on the boa...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 36 -110
See Full Write Up
New England at Jacksonville
December 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This is a big game for Jacksonville as they try to keep their playoff hopes alive. A loss here will pretty much seal their fate. New England has done superb ...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Las Vegas
December 23, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Kansas City has watched its playoff hopes go up in smoke the last three weeks as the once 7-4 Chiefs have now dropped three straight and stand at 7-7. It wou...
4 units on Las Vegas +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 15 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Cincinnati at Indianapolis
December 18, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
Who can forget last year's matchup between these two teams? There were 943 yards and 92 points. It's all anyone can talk about this week as it relates to t...
4 units on Game Total UNDER 54.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Denver at Arizona
December 17, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
Here we have two teams headed in vastly different directions. One is improving, at home, and getting points. The other is heading south, is on the road, and ...
5 units on Arizona +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Tennessee
December 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
It has been a tale of two seasons for Tennessee and a tale two locations (home vs. the road) for Jacksonville. Let's start with the Titans. This is a team th...
4 units on Tennessee +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New York at Minnesota
December 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Quick question - who has the 2nd best defense in the NFL? Not many people would answer Minnesota. They just don't come to mind as quickly when thinking defen...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 41 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Pittsburgh at Carolina
December 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
What a dissapointment. Pittsburgh wins the Super Bowl last year and now sits at 6-7 with no hopes for the playoffs. Carolina was supposed to be this year's S...
5 units on Carolina +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tampa Bay at Chicago
December 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Chicago offense had a surge early behind Grossman, and early on it looked like the Bears were the most complete team in the NFL. The defense has been utt...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 34 -110
See Full Write Up
San Francisco at Seattle
December 14, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Tonight's game will feature steady winds of 30-45 MPH with gusts to 65 MPH, along with rain. This will turn into a ground war with passing and kicking virtua...
4 units on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Week 14 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Chicago at St. Louis
December 11, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
St. Louis has to be the worst of any teams to have won five games this season. If you look at them staistically, perhaps you will not arrive at that conclusi...
3 units on Chicago -6.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Denver at Los Angeles
December 10, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Everyone loves San Diego, and the public likes teams that can score. San Diego has that Superbowl look about them as they have rattled off six straight wins....
3 units on Denver +7.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Seattle at Arizona
December 10, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
After losing eight in a row one might expect that this Arizona team would have packed it in. What was supposed to be a playoff contending team tanked in the ...
4 units on Arizona +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Tampa Bay
December 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Did Atlanta turn its season around last week, or will we see more of a team that just can't get it done? They were on the verge of going down yet again, but ...
4 units on Tampa Bay +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Indianapolis at Jacksonville
December 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We've faded the Colts in both of their losses this year and we look for the hatrick here. Indianapolis enters this game with their typical good 10-2 record, ...
5 units on Jacksonville +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Las Vegas at Cincinnati
December 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Ready for the shocker stat of the week? Oakland has one of the best defenses in the league! Yes it's true. Read on. Last year Oakland was horrible and they s...
5 units on Las Vegas +11 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Detroit
December 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Minnesota may end up going with Tarvaris Jackson at QB this week and it would be the right place as they face one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Detro...
4 units on Minnesota +1.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Philadelphia at Washington
December 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
It's amazing how the public perception changes week to week. Philadelphia was left for dead after McNabb went down and they get killed by the Colts. Then Jef...
4 units on Washington +1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1222-1047 (54%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$145,890
Week 13 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Carolina at Philadelphia
December 4, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
This game sets up nicely for bettors. Philadelphia, so reliant on their quarterback, losses Donovan McNabb two weeks ago. In that game, they played bad and l...
3 units on Philadelphia +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Atlanta at Washington
December 3, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We usually like these teams that have looked bad recently to come back and have a strong game. We looked for a reason to back Atlanta in their down-and-out s...
2 units on Washington -1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at Tennessee
December 3, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Colts are on their way to another season notching a very high win total. They have had to do it without much of a running game and a bad run defense. But...
4 units on Tennessee +7.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Cleveland
December 3, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We keep coming back to this Cleveland team. We know we'll get the "are you crazy" mail on this one, especially after last week. But one of the realities of b...
5 units on Cleveland +5.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Los Angeles at Buffalo
December 3, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
San Diego has that Superbowl look about them right now. They are taking care of business week after week and they top most people's list of top teams. Buffal...
3 units on Buffalo +6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Chicago
December 3, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
It will feel good for Chicago to be back home after three games on the road. The one thing that made this team lethal earlier, outside of their defense of co...
4 units on Game Total UNDER 36 -110
See Full Write Up
Week 12 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Green Bay at Seattle
November 27, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
Green Bay comes in off a 0-35 spanking at the hands of the Patriots. Brett Favre went down in that game and Aaaron Rodgers was thrown to the wolves, going 4 ...
4 units on Green Bay +10.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Cincinnati at Cleveland
November 26, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This will be the third week of the last four that we have been on Cleveland. Why do we continue to back this apparently ugly dog? They continue to be under...
4 units on Cleveland +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Jacksonville at Buffalo
November 26, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Jacksonville strolls into Buffalo with the league's third best defense in both points and yards allowed. They've been a bit under the radar on this front as ...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 35.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Atlanta
November 26, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
You have to wonder about the mindset of the Atlanta Falcons right now. A team that started out looking like a possible Superbowl contender, and a couple of M...
4 units on New Orleans +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Pittsburgh at Baltimore
November 26, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Everyone is wondering what happened to the Steelers this year. Where is the Steel Curtain defense? Where is the offense? It's a mystery to most but we think ...
2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Denver at Kansas City
November 23, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Denver started the year looking like they had the best defense in the entire NFL, allowing two touchdowns in the first 6 games. Kansas City got off to a poor...
3 units on Kansas City PICK (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tampa Bay at Dallas
November 23, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
As we stated last week, Dallas was the better team vs. Indianapolis. It was confirmed as they beat the undefeated Colts. While just 6-4 in record, we believe...
2 units on Dallas -11 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Miami at Detroit
November 23, 2006
12:30 PM Eastern
Forgive us if we are not yet believers in the Miami Dolphins. We know they are the talk of the town having won three straight games. But let's look at those ...
2 units on Detroit +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1222-1047 (54%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$145,890
Week 11 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Indianapolis at Dallas
November 19, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
This becomes the time of year where everyone begins to think about the Colts going undefeated. They have had lots of close calls this year, and again last we...
5 units on Indianapolis +1.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Detroit at Arizona
November 19, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
Is Arizona favored here? What!?! This team is 1-8. After seeing them basically not even try last week, we are convinced they have packed it in. They were in ...
5 units on Detroit +2.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Miami
November 19, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Miami has done very well the past two weeks. They went into Chicago and smacked down the undefeated Bears 31-13 as a 13.5 point dog. Huge win (but more on th...
4 units on Minnesota +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New England at Green Bay
November 19, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We're not sure anyone would of thought New England coming off a loss would lose at home in their next game as a double digit favorite. It is just as likely t...
3 units on Green Bay +6 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
St. Louis at Carolina
November 19, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
It never ceases to amaze me how linesmakers and the public continue to fail to adjust to reality. Carolina, the preseason darling, can do no wrong in their m...
3 units on St. Louis +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tennessee at Philadelphia
November 19, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
As underdog bettors, we rarely lay double digits. We did it a couple of weeks ago with our 5-unit play on Jacksonville and we have spotted another opportun...
3 units on Philadelphia -13 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 10 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Tampa Bay at Carolina
November 13, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
These two teams played to 50 points in week three. So why is this total set at 37? It almost seems like a trap. In that first game, Carolina scored a touchdo...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Arizona
November 12, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Sometimes when you see a team that has struggled, their output is much less than what you expected when the season began and you see them as a home dog of a ...
3 units on Arizona +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Denver at Las Vegas
November 12, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
This one will take some heart to play. Oakland? Yes. While your gut tells you "no way," history tells us to back the down-and-out Raiders. This is a perfect ...
2 units on Las Vegas +9.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at Tennessee
November 12, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
There is nothing more motivating than getting your lunch handed to you as a professional player, something you do for a living, something you take great prid...
3 units on Tennessee +7 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Cleveland at Atlanta
November 12, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This is another one of those games that look like a complete mismatch, as Atlanta has a potent running game and Cleveland can't stop the run. If it were that...
5 units on Cleveland +9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Pittsburgh
November 12, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been a major dissapointment, to say the least. Who would have guessed they'd be sitting at 2-6 right now? Not many people. We th...
4 units on Pittsburgh -4.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 9 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Las Vegas at Seattle
November 6, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
The weather in Seattle tonight will be horrendous. They are expecting anywhere from 3-6" of rain and it won't just be the rain that will cause problems, it w...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110
See Full Write Up
Indianapolis at New England
November 5, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
What a matchup. The 7-0 Colts dismantled the supposed "great" Denver defense last week, winning at Mile High. New England, flying under the radar for most of...
2 units on New England -3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at San Francisco
November 5, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
It would be very easy to look at this game from a statistical standpoint and feel comfortable making a play on Minnesota. By the same token, it would feel ve...
3 units on San Francisco +5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Washington
November 5, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We were on the Cowboys big last week with one of our five-unit plays. The public was all over Carolina, doubting whether the Cowboys, off a humilating loss t...
3 units on Washington +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Miami at Chicago
November 5, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Folks, there are few sure things in life. But opponents struggling to score at Soldier Field is one of them. Last year, the Bears allowed double digits only ...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110
See Full Write Up
New Orleans at Tampa Bay
November 5, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Baltimore exposed New Orleans last week. We were on the Ravens strong for a bunch of reasons, one being that New Orleans was a bit overrated (and remain so)....
2 units on Tampa Bay +1 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tennessee at Jacksonville
November 5, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Tennessee has done a nice job in their last two games, keeping the oddsmakers grounded from making Jacksonville a completely prohibitive favorite here. After...
5 units on Jacksonville -9.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Washington
November 5, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
We were on the Cowboys big last week with one of our five-unit plays. The public was all over Carolina, doubting whether the Cowboys, off a humilating loss t...
2 units on Game Total OVER 42 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1222-1047 (54%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$145,890
Week 8 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
New England at Minnesota
October 30, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
One of our two big 4-star plays last week was on the Vikings getting 6.5 against the Seahawks. They went out an trounced Seattle 31-13. Are they getting resp...
4 units on Minnesota +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Dallas at Carolina
October 29, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
Perfect set up here. Carolina, starting the year 0-2 without Steve Smith, won four straight with him back in the lineup before losing a very close game last ...
5 units on Dallas +5.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Baltimore at New Orleans
October 29, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Ravens started the season going 4-0. Things looked great as Steve McNair was doing enough to win and the Ravens' defense allowed just 33 total points ove...
3 units on Baltimore +2 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Tampa Bay at New York
October 29, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
I don't often pick big favorites but I like the Giants a lot this Sunday at home against the Bucs. The G-Men are a top 5 team in my opinion right now. Their ...
3 units on New York -9 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Week 7 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Arizona at Las Vegas
October 22, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Arizona is coming off a loss that is as tough as it gets. They were up by 20 points in the second half vs. Chicago. They forced 6 turnovers and their defense...
4 units on Las Vegas +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Minnesota at Seattle
October 22, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Seattle escaped with a victory last week against St. Louis. It was the second straight game without Shaun Alexander and their second-straight ATS loss. They ...
4 units on Minnesota +6.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Carolina at Cincinnati
October 22, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Panthers started slow losing their first two games in 2006. They faced solid competition in Atlanta and Minnesota in those two games and they were withou...
2 units on Carolina +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Detroit at New York
October 22, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Jets are favored here because they are at home. But, is that really a good reason? They are just 1-2 at home this season and they haven't won back-to-bac...
3 units on Detroit +3.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Pittsburgh at Atlanta
October 22, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Is Atlanta really a home dog here? Classic public overreaction has led to a line that is off. Last week, Atlanta got spanked by the Giants and Pittsburgh lai...
3 units on Atlanta +3 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Week 6 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Chicago at Arizona
October 16, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
This one on paper looks simple, right? Well, yes it does. Chicago is so dominant from a statistical perspective that this game should be a big-time blowout. ...
2 units on Chicago -11.5 (-110)
See Full Write Up
Las Vegas at Denver
October 15, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
On Monday night Denver confirmed what we already knew - their defense is pretty good. They've held their last three opponents to 7 or fewer points. Their off...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Kansas City at Pittsburgh
October 15, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
This Kansas City team has done a complete 180 under new head coach Herm Edwards. The past few years under Dick Vermeil, this team had an unstoppable offense ...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 36.5 -110
See Full Write Up
Houston at Dallas
October 15, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The battle for Lone Star State supremacy goes off at Texas stadium on Sunday. It probably won't be much of a battle considering how bad the Houston Texas are...
2 units on Game Total OVER 43 -110
See Full Write Up
Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
New York at Atlanta
October 15, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Falcons are much improved this season, especially on defense. They have given up just 10.5 points per game thus far. But, their offense has not taken tha...
2 units on New York +3 (-110)
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Week 5 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Baltimore at Denver
October 9, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
Folks, I honestly don't understand this line. Denver favored by 5.5 points against the Ravens? I don't get it. I liked the Ravens at +4 so I certainly like t...
4 units on Baltimore +5.5 (-110)
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Pittsburgh at Los Angeles
October 8, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh's off a national TV game in which they lost and gave up 28 points. So what? That was the Bengals. Prior to that they gave up 17 and 9 points. This...
4 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110
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New York at Jacksonville
October 8, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
In my preseason predictions, I recommended taking the Jets to get over 6 wins. They are on pace to get eight. And, barring some bad coaching last week, they ...
1 unit on New York +7 (-110)
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Miami at New England
October 8, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Yeah, Miami is that bad. This team lost to Buffalo and Houston and barely beat Tennessee! Houston and Tennssee? Come on! As I've said before, not a big fan o...
2 units on New England -10 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
Tampa Bay at New Orleans
October 8, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
When it looks like it can't get any worse for a team, back 'em. Tampa's in a good spot for a cover here. They have been outscored on average 9 - 22 so far. T...
1 unit on Tampa Bay +6.5 (-110)
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Washington at New York
October 8, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This total started at 43.5 and has moved to 45. I think it's still too low. New York is a story of extremes. Statistically speaking, they own one of the top ...
4 units on Game Total OVER 45 -110
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Week 4 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Green Bay at Philadelphia
October 2, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
Yesterday was a day of mixed results for big favorites. We were on both Atlanta and Kansas City laying -7. They both won and covered very easily. Dallas (-9....
2 units on Green Bay +11.5 (-110)
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Cleveland at Las Vegas
October 1, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
I know, I know. Making this pick will make you sick to your stomach. Are we really backing the Raiders? Yes. They have become the laughing stock of the leagu...
2 units on Las Vegas +3 (-110)
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New England at Cincinnati
October 1, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Man, Cincinnati looks good. They remind me of the Colts of the past few years: A scary offense that propels them to big victories over any and all comers. Th...
2 units on New England +6 (-110)
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Arizona at Atlanta
October 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
This game won't be pleasant for the Arizona Cardinals. Mired in a QB controversy after Kurt Warner's error-prone play thus far, they are walking into the Lio...
3 units on Atlanta -7 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
New Orleans at Carolina
October 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Wow. The Saints delivered as promised on Monay Night in what I thought would be their "Super Bowl" for 2006. Now, off a shortened week, and back on the road,...
3 units on Game Total UNDER 41.5 -110
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San Francisco at Kansas City
October 1, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
The Chiefs, a top-scoring team from a year ago, are off two terrible showings. They lost 10-23 to Cincinnati and 6-9 to Denver. They come off a bye and I lik...
3 units on Kansas City -7 (-110)
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Week 3 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Atlanta at New Orleans
September 25, 2006
8:30 PM Eastern
Atlanta has really impressed me this year. I have bashed them repeatedly the past two years when I felt they were vastly overrated. I felt that the public ga...
2 units on New Orleans +4.5 (-110)
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Denver at New England
September 24, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
Mike Shanahan has dug himself a nice little hole that is going to be tough to get out of. He (against the better judgement of just about everyone), put his c...
2 units on Denver +7 (-110)
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Philadelphia at San Francisco
September 24, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
San Francisco was the worst defensive team in the league last season. Against Arizona in week one, they looked like they wanted to lay claim to it again this...
3 units on Game Total OVER 42 -110
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Jacksonville at Indianapolis
September 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
What a performance by Jacksonville on Monday night. This team looks to be for real. I do think they are improved but I think they are in a tough spot here. L...
2 units on Indianapolis -7 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
New York at Buffalo
September 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
As I stated in my preseason over/under predictions, I don't think the Jets were going to be as bad as many people thought this season. So far they have looke...
2 units on New York +6 (-110)
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Washington at Houston
September 24, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
What to make of Washington? Prior to the preseason they were picked as Super Bowl contenders. After a horrible preseason, many people had stuck a fork in the...
2 units on Washington -4 (-110)
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Week 2 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Arizona at Seattle
September 17, 2006
4:05 PM Eastern
The mighty Seahawks struggled in game one. We were on Detroit in that game as we thought the Hawks would come out flat and the Lions pumped up. It played out...
2 units on Seattle -7 (-110)
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New Orleans at Green Bay
September 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Are my eyes deceiving me? Are the New Orleans Saints 2 point ROAD favorites? Yes they are. After defeating a mistake-prone Cleveland Browns team, the Saints ...
2 units on Green Bay +2 (-110)
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Tampa Bay at Atlanta
September 17, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
That Falcons showed last week that they have found some defense. The addition of John Abraham has really shored up what was an average squad. Sure, the absen...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 36 -110
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Week 1 Premium Picks
NFL
All Picks
last 23.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
2,884
2,581
+167.52
Los Angeles at Las Vegas
September 11, 2006
10:15 PM Eastern
The total in this game has moved down from an opening 44 number to 43. I think it is still too high. We have a San Diego offense that has just switched quart...
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 43 -110
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Indianapolis at New York
September 10, 2006
8:15 PM Eastern
Eli vs. Peyton. This one will be a fun game to watch and not only because it pits brothers against each other at QB (first time ever). It' will be great beca...
2 units on Game Total UNDER 48.5 -110
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Dallas at Jacksonville
September 10, 2006
4:15 PM Eastern
Dallas is the media magnet right now. All eyes are on T.O. and the Big Tuna. When will T.O. blow up? Not sure. But hamstring injuries are REALLY bad for wide...
2 units on Dallas -2.5 (-110)
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Atlanta at Carolina
September 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Let me get this out of the way: Steve Smith will play. That's what all his teammates have told reporters. I am assuming he will be in this game and at full-s...
2 units on Carolina -5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks are 2884-2581 (53%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$167,520
New Orleans at Cleveland
September 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans has to be excited about their offense with the addition of Drew Brees and Reggie Bush as well as offensive-minded Sean Payton as their head coach...
2 units on Cleveland -3 (-110)
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Seattle at Detroit
September 10, 2006
1:00 PM Eastern
Seattle shocked many pundits last year, making it to the Super Bowl and giving the Steelers a run for their money. That "unknown team from the Northwest" is ...
2 units on Detroit +6 (-110)
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Cincinnati at Indianapolis
September 1, 2006
7:00 PM Eastern
Indianapolis was 0-5 in the preseason last year and this season they are 1-2 so far. No surprise as Tony Dungy is just 18-23 in preseason play. Marvin Lewis ...
2 units on Cincinnati -2 (-110)
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Denver at Arizona
August 31, 2006
10:00 PM Eastern
Not too sure why Arizona is favored here. Sure, they are 2-1 this preseason but Denver has played better. The Broncos are also 2-1 and they have a coach in M...
2 units on Denver +3.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays are 1222-1047 (54%)
Last 23.1 years
Over the last 23.1 years
+$145,890
Las Vegas at Seattle
August 31, 2006
10:00 PM Eastern
Well, Art Shell has shown us he is playing for keeps. The Raiders are 4-0 so far this preseason as their defense has held opponents to just 8 points per game...
1 unit on Las Vegas -1 (-110)
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Chicago at Cleveland
August 31, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Chicago's vaunted defense isn't exerting itself this preseason. Outside of one good showing against San Diego, they gave up 51 combined points to San Francis...
2 units on Game Total OVER 33.5 -110
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Buffalo at Detroit
August 31, 2006
7:30 PM Eastern
Buffalo games are averaging 46.3 points per game this preseason. Detroit's are much lower at 31.0. That figure was dragged down last week as they put up just...
2 units on Game Total OVER 35 -110
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Houston at Denver
August 27, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Houston is playing their part perfectly this preseason. A team off several horrible seasons, with a new coach, is playing to win. They want to know what it f...
2 units on Houston +6 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Free Picks are 235-158 (60%)
Last 14.8 years
Over the last 14.8 years
+$86,120
San Francisco at Dallas
August 26, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
The Cowboys offense exploded last game as both Drew Bledsoe and Tony Romo were near perfect. Terry Glenn played out of his mind and all of this I believe wil...
2 units on Game Total OVER 36 -110
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Tampa Bay at Jacksonville
August 26, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Another very low total here based on last week's performance. Jacksonville lost last week 10-17. Tampa Bay is off two games averaging 21 TOTAL points per gam...
2 units on Game Total OVER 34 -110
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Washington at New England
August 26, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Nice contrarian situation here. The Pats are off a 30-3 drubbing of Arizona. Their offense has scored 53 points in two games. They face a struggling Washingt...
2 units on Washington +3 (-110)
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Arizona at Chicago
August 25, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
The Cards are off an awful offensive performance, scoring just 3 points in a 30-3 loss to New England. This will motivate them to perform offensively here. T...
2 units on Game Total OVER 34 -110
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Preseason Picks are 445-386 (54%)
Last 22.0 years
Over the last 22.0 years
+$37,240
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
August 25, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Philadelphia is off two pretty bad performances sandwiched between one good one. They scored 10 points vs. Oakland in their opener, beat Cleveland 20-7 the n...
2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-110)
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Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
August 25, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Philadelphia is off two pretty bad performances sandwiched between one good one. They scored 10 points vs. Oakland in their opener, beat Cleveland 20-7 the n...
3 units on Game Total OVER 35 -110
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San Francisco at Las Vegas
August 20, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Is Oakland really laying points here? Did anyone see these guys play in week 1? The Raiders beat the Vikings but they looked horrible. Aaron Brooks was runni...
3 units on San Francisco +3 (-110)
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Tennessee at Denver
August 19, 2006
9:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams lost in week one but Tennessee has more motivation to get a win here. And with a game under his belt, I expect Vince Young to perform muc...
2 units on Tennessee +5.5 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Playoff Picks are 190-152 (56%)
Last 11.1 years
Over the last 11.1 years
+$34,590
Arizona at New England
August 19, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Matt Cassel is no Tom Brady. Brady performed well as expected in the opener but Cassel should again see the bulk of the playing time here. Arizona came out...
2 units on Arizona +3.5 (-110)
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Minnesota at Pittsburgh
August 19, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Pittsburgh showed me last week that they really don't care too much about winning right now. While I noted last week that the Steelers have winning built int...
2 units on Minnesota +4 (-110)
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New York at Washington
August 19, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams are off weak opening performances. They both managed just 3 points. Joe Gibbs, like his star running back Clinton Portis, is probably alr...
3 units on New York +3 (-110)
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New York at Washington
August 19, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Both of these teams are off weak opening performances. They both managed just 3 points. Joe Gibbs, like his star running back Clinton Portis, is probably alr...
2 units on Game Total OVER 34 -110
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Recent Performance
NFL
Max Plays this season are 16-11 (59%)
Last 1.3 months
Over the last 1.3 months
+$7,000
Los Angeles at Chicago
August 18, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
Chicago last week gave us a glimpse of the value they are putting on winning this preseason. They gave up 28 points to the 49ers. In contrast, San Diego held...
3 units on Los Angeles +3 (-110)
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Detroit at Cleveland
August 18, 2006
7:30 PM Eastern
Philly manhandled Cleveland last week while Detroit got the upset win against Denver. That win was meaningful in that Shannahan likes to win in the preseason...
2 units on Detroit +3 (-110)
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Cincinnati at Buffalo
August 18, 2006
7:00 PM Eastern
Cincinnati's off a win and winning underdogs in this spread range do very well in the preseason against the spread. The Bengals qualify for a system I track ...
3 units on Cincinnati +3.5 (-100)
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New Orleans at Tennessee
August 12, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
New Orleans didn't win many games or cover the spread much last year. One game in which I like them a lot was their opener after Katrina in which I felt the ...
1 unit on New Orleans +3 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
All Picks this season are 53-48 (52%)
Last 1.4 months
Over the last 1.4 months
+$2,350
Pittsburgh at Arizona
August 12, 2006
4:00 PM Eastern
The defending World Champions are getting 3.5 points vs. a team that won 5 games last year. Must be the preseason! Teams that were poor the prior year during...
2 units on Pittsburgh +3.5 (-110)
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Chicago at San Francisco
August 11, 2006
10:00 PM Eastern
This game is similar in a few ways to the Denver/Detroit game. We get a home underdog that has been horrible during the regular season for a while. They are ...
1 unit on San Francisco +2.5 (-110)
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Denver at Detroit
August 11, 2006
7:30 PM Eastern
New coach trying to make a statement and to boot we get him as a home dog - great preseason situation. Unfortunately he's facing a coach in Shanahan that lik...
1 unit on Detroit +2.5 (-110)
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Cleveland at Philadelphia
August 10, 2006
7:30 PM Eastern
Well, Andy Reid "came through" for us on Sunday losing yet another preseason game. He's now 8-16 in exhibition games. I don't go against him and the Eagles e...
1 unit on Cleveland +3 (-110)
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Recent Performance
NFL
Free Picks this season are 4-2 (67%)
Last 1.3 months
Over the last 1.3 months
+$1,590
Las Vegas at Philadelphia
August 6, 2006
8:00 PM Eastern
August 8th - Hall of Fame Game, Canton Ohio. Unlike last year when I didn't have an opinion on the opening game, I think we have been handed a gift in this y...
2 units on Las Vegas +3 (-110)
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