This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 30, 2026 at 11:48AM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Denver

November 1, 2026
img4:25 PM Eastern

Kansas City arrived in Seattle unbeaten and left with a 20-3 loss on 213 yards and 50 plays. The Chargers game a week earlier ended 22-6, and Rashee Rice missed both with a hamstring injury. He is listed as questionable again. Kenneth Walker III ran for a 60-yard touchdown in the Week 1 meeting, a 31-10 Chiefs win, then managed 36 yards on 14 carries against the Seahawks. Harrison Butker is 11 of 16 on field goals, so drives that reach range do not always turn into points. Denver's last outing was a 30-16 win at Arizona. It sat tied 6-6 with two field goals apiece until Bo Nix broke a 62-yard touchdown run, and RJ Harvey added a 52-yard screen score. Both were single-play scores, not drives. Pat Surtain II, the 2024 AP Defensive Player of the Year, has been a full participant in practice this week after an ankle injury that has sidelined him since Week 4. The Broncos are tied for the most sacks in the NFL at 21, and with Surtain practicing fully behind that rush, I'm taking the UNDER on Sunday afternoon.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -104 (risk 1 to return 1.96)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs
7
10
7
0
24
Denver Broncos img
3
10
0
15
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get free NFL Picks

I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.