Arizona at Dallas

Dallas scored 38 on Monday night at Philadelphia, ran for 204 yards, and did not turn the ball over. Dak Prescott threw four interceptions in the two games before that, and the Cowboys scored 16 and 13. Neither of those defenses was Arizona's, which has allowed 29.7 points a game. Prescott sent 16 of his 27 throws downfield in that win, the highest rate of his career. Arizona is 2-5 and scores 20.3 points a game. Dallas allows almost 150 rushing yards a game, and Bam Knight averages 6.4 yards a carry to Jeremiyah Love's 3.7. I give Knight's number more weight, since Love practiced on a limited basis this week after missing two games with an ankle injury. Denver's 30-16 win at Arizona last Sunday came on a 62-yard run by Bo Nix and a 52-yard screen touchdown. The Cardinals went 5 of 17 on third down and still threw for 272 yards. Dallas has beaten a team by more than four points twice, both times by 17, over Washington and a Philadelphia team missing Jalen Hurts. Its last three opponents scored 24, 23, and 21, and Green Bay dropped multiple touchdown passes in the middle one. Each bet is a single unit, so our bankroll carries the same risk on the side as on the total. Dallas has allowed at least 21 points in six of its seven games, so take Arizona with the points and the full-game OVER Sunday afternoon.