Cleveland at Tampa Bay

Cleveland's defense allowed 34 points a week ago, but Tampa Bay had four turnovers that made it a track meet, losing 33-27 to the Cincinnati Bengals. That kind of carelessness with the ball doesn't usually disappear from one week to the next, and a Browns defense that forces even a couple of the same mistakes keeps this well within range on its own. Cleveland's offense has real questions after last week's blowout, with Deshaun Watson now the settled starter over Shedeur Sanders. It's a lot to ask of a Tampa Bay team that hasn't shown it can protect the football against a good opponent, and that alone is enough to keep this closer than the line suggests. Take Cleveland with the points today.