Minnesota at New York

Kyler Murray is still getting used to a new offense in Minnesota after Arizona released him and the Vikings scooped him up, and Kevin O'Connell has a track record of keeping his starting quarterback to a drive or two in a preseason opener. J.J. McCarthy will get run behind him, but this isn't a group that's had months to build chemistry together. Across the field, new Giants head coach John Harbaugh isn't committing to any real workload for Jaxson Dart, and he's been blunt about his plan for the rest of the roster: nobody's playing the whole game because there are ninety bodies in the building that all need a look. That's a coach signaling shallow, choppy snap counts up and down the depth chart, not a green light for his skill players to go score. Spread that thin across two teams, and you get a game defined by fresh combinations trying to execute together for the first time, not rhythm and scoring. A brand-new Vikings starter still learning the offense and a Giants staff intent on rotating bodies through by design point the same direction. This number was built for teams playing normal snap counts with continuity behind center, and neither sideline is offering that Saturday afternoon. The UNDER is the play here, and I don't see either sideline changing that.