New Orleans at Detroit

Detroit's offense enters the season ranked among the best units in the league, with Jared Goff running an attack that finished second in scoring punch a year ago, and that's the problem for anyone taking Detroit at a big number: this same roster carries a defense that was the clear soft spot on a team eliminated from the playoff race for the first time since 2022. Kelvin Sheppard is back for his second year running that defense, so this isn't a new coordinator learning on the fly; it's a known issue heading into year two. New Orleans counters with Tyler Shough, who closed his rookie season strong enough that the Saints handed him the job outright for 2026 with no offseason competition. A confident, ascending quarterback against a defense with real holes is exactly the matchup that keeps a game inside a touchdown, and Detroit's own offensive firepower against a Saints defense still finding its footing points to scoring from both sides. Take New Orleans with the points, and take the OVER on the total.