This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 16, 2026 at 11:29AM ET.
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Tennessee at Indianapolis

October 18, 2026
img1:00 PM Eastern
Game of the Week

Indianapolis has allowed 33 or more points in three of its five games: 41 to Baltimore, 33 to Kansas City in overtime, and 34 at Pittsburgh last Sunday. It has allowed 27.6 points per game, the sixth-most in the league, and Tennessee’s five opponents have allowed between 19.2 and 23.8 points per game. Tennessee has scored 58 points in five games, the fewest in the league, and has not scored more than 20 in any of them. Its high was 20 against Philadelphia. Its defense has allowed 13.8 points per first half, including 24 in the first half at Baltimore. Indianapolis has scored 13 or more first-half points in four of its five games and averages 13.8 per first half. Tennessee safety Kendell Brooks is on injured reserve and safety Kevin Winston Jr. is doubtful. Indianapolis defensive ends Arden Key (hamstring) and Michael Clemons (toe) are on injured reserve. Indianapolis has scored 19 or more in all five games: 23, 30, 19, 30 and 22. Wide receiver Alec Pierce is on injured reserve and has missed the last three of those games. Tennessee has allowed 23 to the Jets, 24 to Philadelphia, 12 to the Giants, 24 to Baltimore and 26 to Houston. Indianapolis’s five games have totaled 64, 63, 36, 43 and 56 points. Tennessee’s five have totaled 33, 44, 19, 42, and 29, so the burden falls on Indianapolis’s defense, which has allowed 17 or more in four of five. Back the OVER as my NFL Game of the Week on Sunday afternoon.

2 units on Game Total OVER 44 -118 (risk 2 to return 3.69)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Tennessee Titans img
0
0
6
20
26
Indianapolis Colts
0
13
0
7
20
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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