Buffalo at Los Angeles

The Rams lead the NFL with 427.3 yards per game and rank 23rd in scoring at 21.3 points per game. Two turnovers in each of their four games account for much of that gap, along with eight touchdowns on 15 red-zone trips. I trust the yardage more than the giveaways, and Buffalo’s defense is a good place for it to show. The Bills allow 372.3 yards and 26.8 points a game, and New England gained 405 yards in a 29-26 win over Buffalo last week. Buffalo scores 31.8 a game, second in the league. The Rams’ defense has been the steadier unit lately, allowing 182, 257, and 172 yards over its last three games while those opponents converted 10 of 39 third downs. I laid the points with Los Angeles at home against the Giants on September 21, and it won 28-6. The home team is the top-yardage favorite against that defense. Los Angeles is the right side on the spread tonight.