This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 02, 2026 at 9:58AM ET.
img NFL

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

October 4, 2026
img1:00 PM Eastern

Green Bay carries a 14-point game against Atlanta into today and ranks 32nd in third-down conversion at 27.78 percent. The Packers are also 32nd in rushing at 48.7 yards a game, and with Josh Jacobs out, their drives have little to build on. Their offense scores 18.7 points a game, 24th, and it has put up 20 and 14 in its last two games, while Tampa Bay put up 19 and 16. Tampa Bay ranks 28th on third down at 32.56 percent and 28th in total yards. Undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels takes over at quarterback with Baker Mayfield out with a dislocated right thumb, and the Buccaneers score 20.7 points a game, 19th. Both defenses allow plenty, 30.3 points a game for Green Bay and 26.3 for Tampa Bay, but giving up points takes an opponent that can hold the ball for long stretches, and neither offense is converting often enough to do it. Play the first-half UNDER.

1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 19.5 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Green Bay Packers img
0
10
7
0
17
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0
7
0
7
14
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get free NFL Picks

I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.