Green Bay at New York

Green Bay's final score against Minnesota looks like a blowout, but the game wasn't decided until the fourth quarter. The Packers led 22-17 with the fourth quarter about to start before Minnesota scored 22 unanswered points in the final period alone, an ugly finish that inflated a competitive loss into a 39-22 final. That kind of collapse happened without Josh Jacobs, who's out again Sunday, and without Micah Parsons, who tore his ACL last season and isn't expected back until at least Week 5. Green Bay is still finding its front-seven rotation without either of them. New York, meanwhile, controlled the clock for nearly 39 minutes in a turnover-free win over Tennessee, but that came against a Titans offense that scored just 10 points, not the kind of resistance that tells us much about facing a real one. Matt LaFleur's system hasn't changed, and the value is in a short number on the road against an offense that hasn't been tested yet. Green Bay is the right side on the spread today.