2005-2006 NFL Football Past Picks

NFL

 

Last 21.4 years
Wins Losses Units
2612 2305 +201.65

Super Bowl

05

Seattle at Pittsburgh
Sunday 02/05 06:20 PM Eastern
3 units on Pittsburgh -4 (-110)

When the season began, many expected Seattle to represent the NFC in this game. They didn't disappoint, cruising to a 13-3 regular season record and disposing of Washington an...

Conference Finals

22

Carolina at Seattle
Sunday 01/22 06:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Seattle -3.5 (-110)

Respect continues to elude the Seahawks. They are mere 4 point favorites at home in this one against Carolina. Part of it is due to Carolina playing such good football. They shr...

22

Pittsburgh at Denver
Sunday 01/22 03:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Pittsburgh +3.5 (-110)

The Denver Broncos are relieved. Wouldn't you be? Before Pittsburgh upended the Colts, Denver was headed to Indianapolis this weekend - a place they lost the last two years by a...

Divisional Playoffs

15

Carolina at Chicago
Sunday 01/15 04:30 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

Carolina certainly impressed last week. They shut out their host and litterally ran all over them. Can they repeat that performance this week? It's going to be a lot tougher. Th...

14

New England at Denver
Saturday 01/14 08:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Denver -3 (-110)

Tough one here. How do you go against either of these teams? Everyone can come up with arguments to back either. But, in all honesty, who wants to go against either in this situ...

14

Washington at Seattle
Saturday 01/14 04:30 PM Eastern
4 units on Seattle -9 (-110)

Afraid of laying nine here? No worries. This appears to be the easiest pick of the weekend. Seattle should absolutely crush the Skins. There are generally two camps of fans out ...

Wildcard Round

08

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Sunday 01/08 04:30 PM Eastern
3 units on Cincinnati +3 (-110)

On paper, this is all Pitsburgh. They have the statistical advantage in every defensive category as well as the rushing game on offense. They steamroll into the playoffs off 4 s...

08

Carolina at New York
Sunday 01/08 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New York -2.5 (-110)

How good is this Giants team? Overall they were 11-5 on the season and 10-5 ATS. Very good. But wait. Let's take a look at home/away. In the Meadowlands these guys were nearly u...

07

Jacksonville at New England
Saturday 01/07 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 37.5 -110

Who wants a piece of New England? No one right now. Especially not at home. New England actually has a chip on their shoulder as they are talking about making a statement here t...

07

Washington at Tampa Bay
Saturday 01/07 04:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110

The Skins took a 5-6 midseason record and turned it into 10-6 final record as they come storming into the playoffs. Tampa finished the regular season a bit better at 11-5. Earli...

Week 17

01

St. Louis at Dallas
Sunday 01/01 08:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 43.5 -110

In what will be the final 2005 regular season game, the Cowboys are instilled as huge favorites over the troubled Rams. I've bashed the Rams here enough so I won't go into it to...

01

Baltimore at Cleveland
Sunday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

Both of these teams are out of the playoffs so we really don't have anything too strange about this game. Yet, somehow we get a division home underdog with a visitor that is 0-7...

01

Buffalo at New York
Sunday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New York +1.5 (-110)

The Bills pulled off an impressive victory over Cincinnati last week. All of the public squares who laid a couple of house payments on the Bengals now want a piece of Buffalo th...

01

Cincinnati at Kansas City
Sunday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 46 -110

OK, let's face it. Neither of these teams will have anything to play for here. Cincinatti wrapped up the AFC North weeks ago and threw away their shot at a first round bye by lo...

01

New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Sunday 01/01 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 37.5 -110

The Bucs rank 8th in the league in scoring defense, 4th in yards per play given up and 2nd in total yards allowed (behind Chicago by only a smidgeon). Think New Orleans is going...

Week 16

26

New England at New York
Monday 12/26 09:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New England -7 (-110)

Somehow this line opened at -4 and it seemed very weird to me. Low and behold, it has move to -7 and could climb higher throughout the day on Monday. This line is now about righ...

24

Indianapolis at Seattle
Saturday 12/24 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 42.5 -110

So much for a great matchup. With Indy's loss last week, the luster on this game has has worn off quickly. It would have been a potential Super Bowl matchup but now Indy will re...

24

Philadelphia at Arizona
Saturday 12/24 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona -1 (-110)

We were on Philly as our top-rated play last week. They were facing a terrible St. Louis team with an awful defense and getting over a field goal. Philly pulled off the win but ...

24

Los Angeles at Kansas City
Saturday 12/24 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 50 -110

San Diego is off the most impressive win of the season in the NFL. As big dogs they went into Indy and knocked off the undefeated Colts. How many people really thought they woul...

24

New York at Washington
Saturday 12/24 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Washington -3 (-110)

Arguably t he most embarrasing loss of this NFL season happened in week 8. Washington, at 4-2 and coming off a 52-17 trouncing of San Francisco, went into the Meadowlands and ra...

Week 15

19

Green Bay at Baltimore
Monday 12/19 09:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total UNDER 34 -110

Tough side to call here as I really don't want to be betting on either of these two teams. Baltimore has been terrible and how Kyle Boller STILL has a job is way beyond me. I've...

18

Cincinnati at Detroit
Sunday 12/18 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Detroit +8 (-110)

Yeah, this one takes heart. It's hard to back Detroit and hard to go against Cincinnati. But, the Bengals have shown a propensity to play down to their competition this season. ...

18

Philadelphia at St. Louis
Sunday 12/18 01:00 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

In a "who cares" game between two non-playoff teams, sparks should fly. These teams have nothing of significance to play for and as a result, they are going throw caution to the...

17

Kansas City at New York
Saturday 12/17 05:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 46.5 -110

The Chiefs rank tops in the league in yards per game at 391. They are averaging over 6 per play which ranks only behind the Rams. And, they can put up points (25.3 per game). Th...

Week 14

12

New Orleans at Atlanta
Monday 12/12 09:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Atlanta -10.5 (-110)

While I've bashed the Falcons here many a time, surprise surpise - I'm taking 'em tonight! Atlanta's off a crushing 24-6 home defeat to the Panthers that dropped them to 7-5 and...

11

San Francisco at Seattle
Sunday 12/11 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Seattle -15.5 (-110)

This game qualifies as the "line can't be big enough" game of the week. While San Francisco has had a few surprise games this year, for the most part they've been a great team t...

11

Washington at Arizona
Sunday 12/11 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Washington -3.5 (-110)

I was on both Washington and Arizona last week. I stated that Washington's a pretty good ballclub and they exposed the weak Rams. I was on Arizona, too, against a terrible San F...

11

New England at Buffalo
Sunday 12/11 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Buffalo +3.5 (-110)

The lone underdog pick this week will again make some nervous. Last week we faded New England laying 10 points to the Jets. New England won by 13, covering - making it only the ...

11

Tampa Bay at Carolina
Sunday 12/11 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Carolina -5.5 (-110)

Carolina is a top 10 team this season while Tampa Bay is... well... not. Tampa has a great defense but Carolina is much more balanced and explosive. Carolina made a statement wi...

Week 13

04

New York at New England
Sunday 12/04 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on New York +10 (-110)

I'm 5-1 this season picking New England games. Here's another one I like because the spread is again out of whack. This Patriots team should not be laying 10 points to anyone ri...

04

Arizona at San Francisco
Sunday 12/04 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Arizona -3 (-110)

The league's worst offense gets their rookie back. Alex Smith will take the helm but it doesn't matter. San Francisco is horrible no matter who is behind center. In the four gam...

04

Washington at St. Louis
Sunday 12/04 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Washington -3 (-110)

St. Louis has been bad on the road for a while now. But, in years past, you could count on them being tough at home. Not this year as they are just 2-3 ATS on the home turf this...

04

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Sunday 12/04 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Pittsburgh -3 (-110)

Pittsburgh's got to be disappointed after their performance on Monday Night. Big Ben definitely looked rusty. After facing the league's best team, things get no easier as they n...

04

Minnesota at Detroit
Sunday 12/04 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Detroit +2 (-110)

If you listen to the media "experts" and the guy at the watercooler this week, the Lions have absolutely no shot here. Well, it kind of makes sense, right? They are in turmoil -...

Week 12

28

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis
Monday 11/28 09:00 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

Well, we were on the wrong side of the Indy game last week. Against the Bengals, we thought the home dog would keep it close and in the end, Indianapolis covered the six point n...

27

New Orleans at New York
Sunday 11/27 08:30 PM Eastern
2 units on New York +1.5 (-110)

It takes a team as bad as the Jets to force the linesmakers to favor the Saints on the road. How crazy is this? New Orleans is 2-8 and losing by over ten points per game on aver...

27

Jacksonville at Arizona
Sunday 11/27 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Jacksonville -3.5 (-110)

The Jags have found some offense (finally). They've topped 30 points two weeks in a row now. Arizona won as a big underdog last week. We knew they were in a great situation ther...

27

Miami at Las Vegas
Sunday 11/27 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Miami +7 (-110)

The Dolphins have hit rock bottom so it's time to back them here. They've dropped three straight and six of seven. They were shut out 22-0 last week by a mediocre team. It's tim...

27

New England at Kansas City
Sunday 11/27 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Kansas City -3 (-110)

We've selectively gone against New England a few times this season with great results. Here's another good opportunity as we lay just three with a good team at home. New England...

27

San Francisco at Tennessee
Sunday 11/27 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Tennessee -7.5 (-110)

Reggie Bush and Matt Leinart probably care more about this game than 99% of the public. The loser probably gets the first pick in the draft and if it's Tennessee, they'll be loo...

27

St. Louis at Houston
Sunday 11/27 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Houston +4 (-110)

When will everyone figure this out? The Rams are horrible on the road. They are 1-4 SU and ATS this season away from home. Dating back to last year, they are 2-10 SU & ATS. ...

24

Denver at Dallas
Thursday 11/24 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on Dallas +2.5 (-110)

Denver is sure impressive this year and it takes some cajones to go against them right now. But, this is the time. Denver is coming off a nationally televised pasting of the Jet...

24

Atlanta at Detroit
Thursday 11/24 12:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Detroit +3 (-110)

Two home puppies on Turkey day. Can Detroit carve up another kind of bird - a Falcon- on Thanksgiving? I think so! You know I am not a big fan of the Falcons. I have believed th...

Week 11

21

Minnesota at Green Bay
Monday 11/21 09:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Green Bay -6 (-110)

Minnesota has put a little of the turmoil behind themselves with two straight wins. The last win was a huge upset as they beat the Giants on the road as 9.5 point underdogs. But...

20

Indianapolis at Cincinnati
Sunday 11/20 04:15 PM Eastern
5 units on Cincinnati +6 (-110)

Two years ago Cincinnati hosted a 9-0 team in a game in which the Bengals were posted as 6 point underdogs. Sound familiar? I absolutely loved the Bengals in that game against K...

20

Arizona at St. Louis
Sunday 11/20 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona +9.5 (-110)

The first of my three Sunday dogs. This week is the first one all season that I feel like we are really getting value on multiple underdogs and this Arizona represents the best ...

20

New Orleans at New England
Sunday 11/20 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New Orleans +10 (-110)

New England showed grit again, winning last week in a game they could have lost. That's the Belichick / Brady difference. Without those two guys, the Pats would likely be 3-6 ri...

Week 10

14

Dallas at Philadelphia
Monday 11/14 09:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Dallas +3 (-110)

The T.O. saga is (almost) finally behind the Eagles. But, without him on the field, what chance do these guys really have? They will be better off without him over the long haul...

13

St. Louis at Seattle
Sunday 11/13 04:15 PM Eastern
3 units on Seattle -6.5 (-110)

Ahhh, I wait for these opportunities. Backing a good team at home against the Rams. St. Louis simply does not perform well on the road. They are 1-3 SU and ATS away from the fri...

13

Kansas City at Buffalo
Sunday 11/13 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Kansas City +2.5 (-110)

This Chiefs team is feeling good about themselves after their last-second gutsy win over the Oakland Raiders last week. Priest Holmes is out, but no matter. Larry Johnson has pr...

13

Minnesota at New York
Sunday 11/13 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on New York -9.5 (-110)

I know. Nine and half is a lot of points. But, in this game, not enough. We were on Minnesota last week as they were in a good situation. The team rallyed after the loss of Duan...

13

Washington at Tampa Bay
Sunday 11/13 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Washington -1 (-110)

The Skins have beaten Chicago, Dallas, Seattle and Philadelphia. As stated in these pages multiple times this season, this team is damn good. Tampa Bay used to be good. When Cad...

Week 9

07

Indianapolis at New England
Monday 11/07 09:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Indianapolis -4 (-110)

Indianapolis is 0-4-1 ATS the last five in Foxboro. The Pats have beaten Peyton Manning 10 of 12 times and the Colts are 0-9 at New England since 1996. New England simply doesn'...

06

Philadelphia at Washington
Sunday 11/06 08:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Washington -3 (-110)

I'll always take a close hard look at teams that got embarrased the way Washington did last week. If it's not a horrible team, they are often worth a look. NFL players and staff...

06

New York at San Francisco
Sunday 11/06 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on New York -11 (-110)

My one pick this week in which I am going with the seemingly "obvious" public choice. The G-Men won 36-0 last week fueled by the emotions surrounding the death of their beloved ...

06

Atlanta at Miami
Sunday 11/06 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Miami +2.5 (-110)

We've banked a lot on taking the Dolphins selectively this season, including last week. Here's another opportunity. The theme this week, as you know, is "false" wins and losses....

06

Carolina at Tampa Bay
Sunday 11/06 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Tampa Bay +1.5 (-110)

Contrarian pick here that sets up very nicely. These two teams are almost EXACTLY mirror images of themselves. The Panthers have seemed like world-beaters lately. Superstar rece...

06

Detroit at Minnesota
Sunday 11/06 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Minnesota +1 (-110)

Culpepper is out. Good. Can't get any worse. He's playing as bad as we was a couple of years ago and that's pretty bad. In 2005, he'll be remembered for throwing 6 TDs and 12 in...

06

Houston at Jacksonville
Sunday 11/06 01:00 PM Eastern
5 units on Jacksonville -13 (-110)

Similar to the Carolina/Tampa Bay game, this matchup was set up perfectly based on last week's results. Houston notched their first win of the season, an upset, while Jacksonvil...

Week 8

31

Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Monday 10/31 09:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Pittsburgh -11.5 (-110)

The is a big line and it has moved from -10 to -11.5 over the past day. Why is it so big and moving so much? Well, Pittsburgh is a top-level team and Baltimore is a bad team. Ba...

30

Buffalo at New England
Sunday 10/30 08:30 PM Eastern
5 units on Buffalo +9 (-110)

My sole losing pick on Sunday last week was Buffalo. Felt good about it going in as I felt Buffalo was better than Oakland going into the game. Coming out of it, I must admit I ...

30

Tampa Bay at San Francisco
Sunday 10/30 04:15 PM Eastern
4 units on Tampa Bay -10.5 (-110)

Last week we faded San Francisco, backing Washington as a 12.5 point favorite. For an underdog guy, I had to think long and hard about that pick. But, everything pointed to a Wa...

30

Miami at New Orleans
Sunday 10/30 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Miami +2 (-110)

Another stadium for the Saints but same expected outcome - bad play. Without Duece McCallister, their best player, the Saints are not a good team. And, the Katrina distractions ...

30

Arizona at Dallas
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Dallas -9 (-110)

Ouch. That Dallas loss last week hurt. It doesn't get much more boneheaded than that for Drew Bledsoe. The good news is that they played Seattle VERY tough on the road. Seattle ...

30

Cleveland at Houston
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Cleveland +2 (-110)

Pinch me. The winless Texans are favorites. Trap? I don't think so. Some things in life are just wrong and this is one of them. Cleveland is bad but Houston is horrific. As a re...

30

Green Bay at Cincinnati
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Cincinnati -9 (-110)

Last week's outcomes were a great setup for this game. One of the top two teams in the league in my book (Cincinnati) got pummeled as a favorite while a really bad team (Green B...

30

Jacksonville at St. Louis
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Jacksonville -3 (-110)

Said it all season - St. Louis isn't very good. As a result, this overrated club is 2-5 ATS so far this year. They beat New Orleans last week thanks in part to the worst call by...

30

Minnesota at Carolina
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Carolina -7.5 (-110)

Minnesota won last week. Whop-tee-do. Pardon my french but, they still suck. Don't let last week's last-second win over a terrible opponent fool you. All that win did was ensure...

30

Washington at New York
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Washington +2.5 (-110)

You win 52-17 to push your record to 4-2 and you find yourselves as an underdog. Love it. The Skins are for real folks and they are getting (much) better every week. The G-Men a...

Week 7

24

New York at Atlanta
Monday 10/24 09:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 40.5 -110

The big favorites have been coming through this year in record numbers. Yesterday's covers by both Indianapolis at -15 and Washington at -13 (my first big favorite play in years...

23

Baltimore at Chicago
Sunday 10/23 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Chicago -1 (-110)

While I picked the Bears last week, I must admit I had no idea they'd win by 25 points! It was the only game that we could really sit back and not stress about at all last weeke...

23

Buffalo at Las Vegas
Sunday 10/23 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Buffalo +3 (-110)

Oakland may be without the services of Randy Moss here. If Moss plays, this spread is only a bit off. If he doesn't, Buffalo should be favored by a field goal. Buffalo handled t...

23

Los Angeles at Philadelphia
Sunday 10/23 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Los Angeles +3.5 (-110)

You heard it here in this newsletter last week. San Diego is for real! They are only 3-3 but as discussed last week, they are the best team with that record in the league. If yo...

23

San Francisco at Washington
Sunday 10/23 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Washington -12.5 (-110)

The Wunderdog laying 12.5 points? Has he gone mad? Maybe, but maybe not. I have been playing more favorites this year than normal but so far they have been very small ones at -3...

Week 6

17

St. Louis at Indianapolis
Monday 10/17 09:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 51.5 -110

I've been talking all year about how bad the Rams really are and oddsmakers seem to have finally figured this out. They are in for a tough game tonight as they are distracted by...

16

Los Angeles at Las Vegas
Sunday 10/16 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on Los Angeles -2 (-110)

When will everyone catch on? The Chargers are a VERY good ballclub and Oakland is not. A 2-3 team very good? Yes! San Diego lost game one to Dallas - barely in a game in which t...

16

New York at Buffalo
Sunday 10/16 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on Buffalo -3 (-110)

The Jets pulled out a squeaker last week against the Bucs, who are starting to look more and more overrated the last three weeks. Vinny looked good, or good enough. But, this we...

16

Carolina at Detroit
Sunday 10/16 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Carolina +1 (-110)

This game has moved from pick to Detroit minus one. Wrong direction. After a rough start, Carolina is back above .500 and grooving on offense. Steve Smith's absence last year wa...

16

Cleveland at Baltimore
Sunday 10/16 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cleveland +6 (-110)

Cleveland's win over Chicago last week impressed me a lot. Chicago is not a bad team and their defense is great. Yet, Cleveland put up 20 points as Trent Dilfer completed some k...

16

Minnesota at Chicago
Sunday 10/16 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Chicago -3 (-110)

Chicago was closer than the final score would imply last week against Cleveland. The Browns played extremely well, especially late in the game. The Bears are on the cusp of bein...

16

New York at Dallas
Sunday 10/16 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on New York +3.5 (-110)

Dallas is coming off a dismantling of the mighty Philadelphia Eagles. They are a solid team, for sure. But, my oh my - our memories are short. The decisive win over the Eagles s...

16

Washington at Kansas City
Sunday 10/16 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Washington +6 (-110)

Washington showed they can play cross-conference opponents in a hostile environment tough on the road last week. We backed them as they covered the 7 point number against Denver...

Week 5

10

Pittsburgh at Los Angeles
Monday 10/10 09:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Pittsburgh +3 (-110)

No one hotter than the San Diego Chargers right now. After a rough start, they've delivered two straight blowouts. Last week they beat the Super Bowl champs 41-17. Pittsburgh is...

09

Cincinnati at Jacksonville
Sunday 10/09 08:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cincinnati +3 (-110)

The Bengals staved off the letdown last week to improve to a perfect 4-0. They overcame 14 penalties in that game. They'll need to cut down those mistakes but right now this tea...

09

Washington at Denver
Sunday 10/09 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Washington +7 (-110)

After a horrible start in Miami, the Broncos are playing playoff-quality ball thanks to solid defense. They squeaked past San Diego, blew out Kansas City and cruised by Jacksonv...

09

Chicago at Cleveland
Sunday 10/09 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Chicago +3 (-110)

Are the Cleveland Browns really posted as a favorite? Pinch me. Yes, the Bears offense has issues. Kyle Orton has looked like, well, a rookie. But, he's now entering his fifth g...

09

New Orleans at Green Bay
Sunday 10/09 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New Orleans +3 (-110)

We took the Pack on Monday night when it seemed crazy to back them. They covered and now we think it's time to go against them. The primary reason we took them on Monday was sit...

09

Seattle at St. Louis
Sunday 10/09 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Seattle +3 (-110)

St. Louis is 1-3 yet for some reason people still don't get it. They are favorites despite the obvious fact that they are not very good. They've played one good team this season...

09

Tennessee at Houston
Sunday 10/09 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Tennessee +3 (-110)

Again, another curious line to me. In many of the games this weekend it's as if the oddsmakers said "Well, they're about even - let's give the home team three points." On the su...

Week 4

03

Green Bay at Carolina
Monday 10/03 09:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Green Bay +7.5 (-110)

Have we not all learned? Last week everyone thought Tampa Bay would crush the Packers. They did not. This week, the public was all over some large favorites of over a touchdown ...

02

Dallas at Las Vegas
Sunday 10/02 04:15 PM Eastern
4 units on Dallas +3.5 (-110)

As I always say, the public is wrong. This is why most bettors lose and sportsbooks laugh to the bank. Last week we knew the public was all over Philadelphia vs. Oakland. They w...

02

Philadelphia at Kansas City
Sunday 10/02 04:15 PM Eastern
2 units on Philadelphia +2 (-110)

We went against the Eagles last week due to situation. They were ripe for a big letdown and the scene played out perfectly as they nearly lost outright as a nine point favorite....

02

Los Angeles at New England
Sunday 10/02 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Los Angeles +5.5 (-110)

Two teams that needed a win last week did. New England went into Pittsburgh and silenced the critics, winning as an underdog (solidifying in many people's minds that this is a t...

02

Seattle at Washington
Sunday 10/02 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Seattle +2 (-110)

Why is Washington favored here? Yes, they can play defense but they have no offense to speak of. They've scored two offensive touchdowns so far in their first two games. They ar...

Week 3

25

New York at Los Angeles
Sunday 09/25 08:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on New York +5.5 (-110)

Are the Giants for real? The bookmakers don't seem to think so. I, on the other hand, think they have shown a lot thus far. Eli Manning is looking like Peyton and Jeremey Schock...

25

Arizona at Seattle
Sunday 09/25 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Arizona +6.5 (-110)

Arizona is 0-2 but they rank in the top 10 in the leauge in both offense and defense and they outgained St. Louis 409-324 last week. Poor clock management as well as losing the ...

25

Dallas at San Francisco
Sunday 09/25 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on San Francisco +6.5 (-110)

Sensing a theme here? San Francisco loses by 39 points last week. Time to fade them here, right? Just the opposite. They are getting nearly a touchdown at home against a team th...

25

Las Vegas at Philadelphia
Sunday 09/25 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Las Vegas +8.5 (-110)

All's well in Philadelphia as T.O. and McNabb are laughing like good ole buddies again. The Eagles crushed San Francisco last week 42-3. But who cares? After a loss to Atlanta, ...

25

Tampa Bay at Green Bay
Sunday 09/25 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Green Bay +3.5 (-110)

Green Bay getting 3.5 at home vs. the Bucs. Hard to believe this would be the case before the season started. But, after two games, the Pack are 0-2 SU and ATS while Tampa is 2-...

Week 2

19

New Orleans at New York
Monday 09/19 07:30 PM Eastern
2 units on New Orleans +3.5 (-110)

We got the win on New Orleans as a big underdog last week. We knew that their emotions (and a solid team) would help them to a victory. Will those emotions spill over into this ...

18

Kansas City at Las Vegas
Sunday 09/18 08:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Kansas City -1.5 (-110)

Look out. If Kansas City can continue to play aggressive swarming defense like they did in week one, they are Super Bowl bound. We know they have the offense and now it looks li...

18

Los Angeles at Denver
Sunday 09/18 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Los Angeles +3 (-110)

Hard to believe that one of these two teams is going to be 0-2 after this week. Both were expected to have good seasons. Both lost as 5 point favorites last week. But, the losse...

18

Miami at New York
Sunday 09/18 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Miami +6.5 (-110)

Maybe the Dolphins got lucky last week. Maybe the Jets loss was strictly due to their fumbles and turnovers. Then again, maybe not. This is not last year's Dolphins team. Nick S...

18

St. Louis at Arizona
Sunday 09/18 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on St. Louis +1 (-110)

Last week when we went against the Rams I said I will take them sparingly this year and not often on the road. Well, here we go. I like the Rams in this one. Why is Arizona a fa...

18

Baltimore at Tennessee
Sunday 09/18 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Baltimore -3.5 (-110)

Tennessee showed us a lot last week. Their defense IS that bad and their offense IS NOT that good - yet. Norm Chow will get this offense performing better but it's clear it will...

18

Detroit at Chicago
Sunday 09/18 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Detroit -2 (-110)

Many were surprised by Detroit's win over Green Bay last week. Is Detroit that good or is Green Bay that bad? Hard to say at this point in the season but one thing's for sure. C...

Week 1

12

Philadelphia at Atlanta
Monday 09/12 09:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Atlanta +1 (-110)

This is an important game for the Philadelphia Eagles. If they win in convincing fashion, it will go a long way towards them putting the TO problems behind them and having a goo...

11

Arizona at New York
Sunday 09/11 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on New York -2.5 (-110)

My favorite picks are few and far between but I like this one. In week one, home favorites of 3 or less hit at about a 70% clip against the spread. While much improved, the Card...

11

St. Louis at San Francisco
Sunday 09/11 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on San Francisco +6 (-110)

Here we get the public's whipping boy against one of the most overrated teams in the league. Offensively, the Rams will be as good as always. But, their defense remains suspect ...

11

Chicago at Washington
Sunday 09/11 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Chicago +6 (-110)

Joe Gibbs had a bad year last year and some are questioning whether the great one can return to his once dominant form. His team is instilled as six point favorites this afterno...

11

New Orleans at Carolina
Sunday 09/11 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New Orleans +7 (-110)

Think the Saints will be playing their hearts out for New Orleans (former) residents on Sunday? I sure do. Don't be surprised if the Saints get as big an ovation at the beginnin...

11

Tennessee at Pittsburgh
Sunday 09/11 01:00 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

The pressure is right where Steelers coach Bill Cowher does not want it to start the season. This game rests on Ben Roethlisberger's shoulders as both Duce Staley and Jerome Bet...

08

Las Vegas at New England
Thursday 09/08 09:00 PM Eastern
1.1 units on Game Total OVER PICK 0

I know I'm gonna take some grief for this pick. But, that's the point. The public is definitely on the World beating New England Patriots. It's hard to pick against a team that ...

08

Las Vegas at New England
Thursday 09/08 09:00 PM Eastern
1.1 units on Las Vegas PICK (0)

I know I'm gonna take some grief for this pick. But, that's the point. The public is definitely on the World beating New England Patriots. It's hard to pick against a team that ...

Preseason

02

Denver at Arizona
Friday 09/02 10:00 PM Eastern
2.2 units on Denver PICK (0)

Denny Green has his team at 3-0 this preseason but they'll end on a down note. Denver had a nice win last week and will ride that momentum to a cover here. The Ponies are 3-0 an...

02

Kansas City at St. Louis
Friday 09/02 08:00 PM Eastern
1.1 units on Kansas City PICK (0)

We bucked the "go against Mike Martz in the preseason" rule last week for good reason, which you read about. It worked. Now we're back to normal. Martz is typically terrible in ...

01

San Francisco at Los Angeles
Thursday 09/01 10:00 PM Eastern
3.3 units on San Francisco PICK (0)

Another big juicy line here that we'll jump ALL over. San Francisco has done better than San Diego this preseason. They come in at 2-1 SU and 3-0 against the spread while the Ch...

01

Cleveland at Chicago
Thursday 09/01 08:00 PM Eastern
2.2 units on Cleveland PICK (0)

The public still doesn't get it with Cleveland. Yes, they will be horrid in the regular season. But this is not the regular season. They have been money thus far going 3-0 again...

01

Green Bay at Tennessee
Thursday 09/01 08:00 PM Eastern
2.2 units on Green Bay PICK (0)

After an eek-out win in week one vs. San Diego in which Green Bay scored 10 points, they have really stunk it up the past two weeks. They scored 7 against Buffalo and lost by 20...

01

New York at New England
Thursday 09/01 08:00 PM Eastern
2.2 units on New York PICK (0)

The G-Men are on a roll and present good value at +5.5. Underdogs who are off a couple of bad years in the regular season do well in the preseason. And, underdogs in this range ...

01

Atlanta at Miami
Thursday 09/01 07:30 PM Eastern
2.2 units on Atlanta PICK (0)

Nick Saban hasn't shown he can win in the preseason. His team is 1-3 yet they are favored by over a field goal in this game. Jim Mora Jr., on the other hand is 3-1 this year. I'...

29

St. Louis at Detroit
Monday 08/29 08:00 PM Eastern
2 units on St. Louis +4 (-110)

Don't normally like backing Mike Martz in the preseason. He's just 9-14 since his start in St. Louis including 1-1 this year and 1-3 in 2004. But, luckily here for us he's facin...

27

Houston at Dallas
Saturday 08/27 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 38 -110

Neither of these teams can score. Houston is averaging 16.5 per game and Dallas is worse at 14.5. They are both playing pretty good defense too. Houston has allowed 18.5 per gam...

27

Indianapolis at Denver
Saturday 08/27 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 44.5 -110

Tempted to take Denver here as you just know they want this one for obvious reasons. But, as a favorite, not so sure. In either case, I think this one's gonna have a lot of scor...

26

Arizona at Las Vegas
Friday 08/26 09:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Arizona +3.5 (-110)

Yes, Oakland has lost two straight-up and ATS. Normally I like to back such teams as the public is usally against them. But, not here as Oakland finds themselves in the favorite...

26

Baltimore at New Orleans
Friday 08/26 08:00 PM Eastern
Multiple Picks

New Orleans has allowed 34 and 27 points in their first two games. Baltimore has allowed an average of 18. It's the Raven's offense that's been held down as they've scored 3 and...

26

Carolina at Cleveland
Friday 08/26 08:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Cleveland +5.5 (-110)

Romeo Crennel has demonstrated a desire to win so far in the preseason. Will he let up in week 3 after two wins? Don't think so. As a 3 point dog and a 6.5 point dog, Crennel an...

26

New York at New York
Friday 08/26 08:00 PM Eastern
2 units on New York -6 (-110)

With Eli Manning on the sidelines, Jessee Palmer, Tim Hasselbeck and Jared Lorenzen shoulder the load for the Giants on Friday night. The Giants lost to the Jets in this game la...

25

Atlanta at Jacksonville
Thursday 08/25 08:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER 39 -110

Atlanta lost last week by 3 at home to the Titans, 21-24. Teams off very close home losses go OVER the total in the preseason in their next game over 80% of the time if playing ...

22

Dallas at Seattle
Monday 08/22 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Dallas +3 (-110)

Time for a little letdown for Seattle and a "must-win" for Dallas. Did I say must-win in the preseason? Yeah. Well, it's a bit tongue-in-cheek. Of course it's not a must win. Bu...

20

San Francisco at Denver
Saturday 08/20 09:00 PM Eastern
2 units on San Francisco +7 (-110)

It's not often that you see 7 point underdogs in the preseason. Denver, coming in off a win against Houston, looked impressive. But, as mentioned above, beating a Dom Capers-led...

20

Arizona at Kansas City
Saturday 08/20 08:30 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona +4.5 (-110)

Look out. Kurt Warner is back and he's got a receiving corp that rivals the one he had during his Super Bowl years in St. Louis. He's also a man on a mission to prove that he's ...

20

Carolina at New York
Saturday 08/20 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Carolina +1 (-110)

Tom Coughlin's another 1-3 guy from 2004 while John Fox and company went 4-0 last year and put up an impressive 28-10 victory in their first game this year. Again, a team here i...

20

Las Vegas at Houston
Saturday 08/20 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Las Vegas +1 (-110)

Norv Turner won 3 of 4 last year in the preseason while Dom Capers went 1-3. Capers is one of the worst coaches to back in the preseason as he's now 9-17 SU in that role. He sim...

20

Green Bay at Buffalo
Saturday 08/20 06:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Green Bay +5.5 (-110)

Another line that's too high for the favorite. Usually lines fall in the -3 to +3 range in the preseason so when we can get nearly double that on a dog, we need to take a good h...

20

Cleveland at Detroit
Saturday 08/20 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cleveland +6.5 (-110)

I understand that everyone thinks Cleveland is about the worst team in the league. But should the Detroit Lions really be laying 6.5 to anyone in the preseason? I don't think so...

18

New Orleans at New England
Thursday 08/18 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on New Orleans +3 (-110)

This line has moved from +4 down to +3 but I still like it. Why has it moved? Primarily because New Orleans will be playing starters for three quarters while New England is plan...

13

New York at Cleveland
Saturday 08/13 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cleveland +3 (-110)

In Tom Coughlin we have yet another coach who uses the preseason as it was intended - to evaluate players. He went 1-3 last year during the preseason. Also, we get to back a hom...

13

Miami at Jacksonville
Saturday 08/13 07:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Miami +3.5 (-110)

Both Ricky Williams and Nick Saban worked out a few kinks on Monday night and that'll give them an advantage in their second game. Both can relax now that the first one is under...

12

Chicago at St. Louis
Friday 08/12 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Chicago +3 (-110)

Chicago and Lovie Smith showed me someting on Monday night as they came back to beat the Dolphins in a high-scoring affair. This is a team, after the season they had last year, ...

12

New England at Cincinnati
Friday 08/12 07:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on New England +2.5 (-110)

The Pats are all business all the time. They don't take a play off, never mind a full game. True to form, Belichick always has his team prepared - starters and backups. They don...