Washington at Philadelphia

Washington went 5-12 last year, and Philadelphia won the division outright, so the records aren't close, but look at what both offenses are actually facing. The Commanders promoted David Blough from assistant quarterbacks coach to offensive coordinator, while the Eagles turn to Sean Mannion for his first year calling plays after Kevin Patullo was let go despite running the best red zone offense in franchise history. Two first-time play-callers is close to a wash, and it puts more weight than usual on the players actually running each system. Jayden Daniels enters year three as one of the more dynamic talents at the position, the kind of quarterback who can cover for a rough install with his legs and his arm. Nick Sirianni and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio are both back in Philadelphia, which is a real edge, but it sits on the side of the ball that isn't deciding this number. Six points is a lot to ask a division rival to find twice against a quarterback capable of erasing it on his own. Take Washington with the points.