Dallas led Arizona by 14 in the fourth quarter on Sunday, November 1, and lost 33-30 in overtime to fall to 3-5. Arizona scored four straight touchdowns in the comeback. Dallas ran 39 times for 93 yards and converted six of 16 third downs. Indianapolis is 2-6 and lost 42-7 at Jacksonville, which ran for 183 yards in the Colts' first game after the DeForest Buckner trade. That is the fourth straight loss for the Colts, by 12, 6, 6, and 35 points. The two six-point losses were 26-20 to Tennessee and 16-10 at Minnesota. Indianapolis covered at Minnesota and is 4-4 against the spread this season. Dallas will have a secondary short on certainty. Safeties Caleb Downs and P.J. Locke were limited in Thursday's practice while in the concussion protocol. Cornerback Cobie Durant returned last week after multiple missed games and is still adapting. Dallas is 3-5 and just gave away a two-score lead at home. Back the Colts with the points on Sunday against a Cowboys secondary that may not have its starting safeties.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on November 06, 2026 at 10:51AM ET.
Dallas at Indianapolis
November 8, 2026
0.5 unit on Indianapolis +6 (-112) (risk 0.5 to return 0.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get free NFL Picks
I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.