2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 24, 2006
This pick was released to clients on July 31, 2012 at 12:57AM ET.
New England at Jacksonville
Sunday 12/24 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Jacksonville -2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73) RESULT: loss
3 units on Game Total UNDER 37 -110 (risk 3 to return 5.73) RESULT: loss
This is a big game for Jacksonville as they try to keep their playoff hopes alive. A loss here will pretty much seal their fate. New England has done superb on the defensive side of the ball but has struggled at times, and has been inconsistent on the offensive side. While average on the road, Jacksonville's defense has been a monster at home. They have forced 16 turnovers and have held teams to 258 yards per game. This all translates in just 9.1 ppg at home. This home defensive dominance for Jacksonville exends to 12 games at 10.8 ppg! This looks like a place for a play on both the side and total in this game, as New England is better defensively than offensively and Jacksonville just doesn't give up an inch. We like the Jacksonville offense to be more productive than New England's as they have outgained opponents at home by an average of 120 yards per game. Let's come back to the Jags at home. Here they have beaten the likes of Dallas, Pittsburgh, the Jets, Tennessee, the Giants and Indianapolis. Some good teams. And they did it convincingly. Their average margin of victory in those games as 30.2 to 6.8. Yes, New England can be scary this time of year but Jacksonville at home is downright awesome. So Jacksonville laying a small number is fine. With New England bringing in the 2nd ranked defense, we like the UNDER as well.