2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 19, 2006
This pick was released to clients on July 31, 2012 at 12:29AM ET.
Detroit at Arizona
Sunday 11/19 04:05 PM Eastern
5 units on Detroit +2.5 (-110) (risk 5 to return 9.55) RESULT: LOSS
Is Arizona favored here? What!?! This team is 1-8. After seeing them basically not even try last week, we are convinced they have packed it in. They were in a good spot last week (they usually perform well as home dog) and didn't show up. That says volumes to us. Why are they expected to win this game? Detroit is certainly not a team to fear. But, they are a lot better than Arizona. Detroit beat Atlanta two weeks ago. They fell last week to San Francisco but turnovers (season high 4, two of which led to SF points) were to blame. That loss sets this one up nicely as we really should be laying points with the Lions here. Detroit's offense is ranked 14th in the NFL. It's good. They can run the ball and John Kitna has thrown for more yards than all but 4 NFL quarterbacks! Against an Arizona defense that allows 25 ppg, Kitna to Roy Williams will eat them up from start to finish. Arizona won't be able to stop Detroit's running game either. The Cards have been torched this year for over 200 yards on the ground twice. On the road they are allowing 187 rushing yards per game. The bottom line? Arizona is ranked 28th in offense and 30th in defense! They have the league's worst running game, getting 71 yards per game. The players are not responding to Dennis Green and they appear to wish 2006 was over. Give us the better, more motivated team and 2.5 points any day.