2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 08, 2006

This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:39PM ET.

08

Washington at New York

Sunday 10/08 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Game Total OVER 45 -110 (risk 4 to return 7.64)  RESULT: LOSS

This total started at 43.5 and has moved to 45. I think it's still too low. New York is a story of extremes. Statistically speaking, they own one of the top offenses and worst defenses in the entire league. They are #2 in yards per game and yards per play (right behind Philly). They are getting 395 yards per game. They are 5th in scoring offense averaging 27 per game. Their defense is awful allowing 30.7 per game (only San Francisco is worse). They are also bottom-five in the league in yards allowed per game (370). Yes, they've played some very good offensive opponents but Washington right now is right up there. Washington's offense has lit up while their defense is average. The Skins are now ranked 3rd in the league in yards per game and yards per play. And, that's including two very lackluster performances against Minnesota and Dallas. Those two games were without Clinton Portis. In those games they averaged under 100 yards rushing and Mark Brunnel completed 57% of his passes and averaged 158 yards per game. In the two games since Portis' return, Brunnel has completed 74% of his passes and averaged nearly 300 yards per game. And they rushed for 193 yards per game. Wow! That's a big change. And, one of those two latter games was against Jacksonville - a team with a great defense that recently shut out the Pittsburgh Steelers. So, with Portis in there, Washington looks like the Super Bowl contender they were supposed to be this year. They should have plenty of success against the Giant's defense. Especially when you consider that Washington still remembers their 36-0 crushing defeat last year here and will be out to prove they can score. And, with the offensive firepower that the Giants have, (30 points in each of last two games), they should also be able to score a lot. These teams last met December 24th of last year and 55 points were scored. I see this game soaring way over the total.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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