2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 22, 2006

This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:51PM ET.

22

Detroit at New York

Sunday 10/22 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Detroit +3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)  RESULT: LOSS

The Jets are favored here because they are at home. But, is that really a good reason? They are just 1-2 at home this season and they haven't won back-to-back home games since 2004. While they are playing better than most people thought, they are susceptible to late comebacks from their opponents. Last week they let Miami come back from a 20-3 deficit. They hung on to win but barely. Earlier this season, they also allowed a 16-0 lead over the Titans and an 11 point lead over Buffalo to dissapear. You don't want to be laying more than a field goal on a team like that (due to back door covers). I've liked the Jets a few times already this year and will like them again down the road, but that will be in the underdog role. They won't be favored much this year and they just aren't good enough to be laying over a field goal. Their defense is allowing 24.8 points and 370 yards per game (30th in NFL). Detroit has a decent offense that is ranked 15th. Kitna is solid and they finally got their running game going last week. And, they got the sweet taste of victory and the confidence that comes from it. The Lions are not as bad as their 1-5 mark. They've played some pretty stiff competition (Seattle, Chicago, St. Louis and Minnesota). Detroit is the better redzone team which could be the difference in a close game. Take the Lions plus the points in what should be a close game.

NFL

 

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Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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