2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 01, 2006
This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:25PM ET.
San Francisco at Kansas City
Sunday 10/01 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Kansas City -7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73) RESULT: WIN
The Chiefs, a top-scoring team from a year ago, are off two terrible showings. They lost 10-23 to Cincinnati and 6-9 to Denver. They come off a bye and I like teams off a bye that have something to prove. They have been laser focused for two weeks, have healed up a bit and they are in desparate need of a win. With high hopes for the playoffs, they need a very good showing to repair their psyche so they will be looking for a blowout. They are without Trent Green but he really hasn't been a good quarterback since 2004. Damon Huard is not great but he's had two weeks now to prepare with the starting offense. And, against the terrible San Francisco defense, he should have success. He won't be asked to do too much as Larry Johnson should be able to tee off at will vs. the Niners. Anyway, it's the KC defense that has impressed me thus far. They held a VERY high-powered Cincinnati offense to 23 points in week one and kept Denver out of the end-zone in week two. They are ranked 11th in total defense and 3rd in pass defense. It's a good thing as San Francisco's offense has improved markedly over last year (averaging 382 yards per game). But San Fran's defense is allowing 349 yards per game and they are again ranked near the bottom of the league. The Chiefs are 8-1 in the favorite role over the past two seasons. They are very hungry for a win and well rested. I see a KC blowout here as the offense delivers big.