2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 17, 2006
This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:17PM ET.
New Orleans at Green Bay
Sunday 09/17 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Green Bay +2 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: LOSS
Are my eyes deceiving me? Are the New Orleans Saints 2 point ROAD favorites? Yes they are. After defeating a mistake-prone Cleveland Browns team, the Saints are riding high. Green Bay looked downright horrible in week one losing 26-0 at home to the Bears. That game solidified in bettors' minds that Green Bay is as bad as they thought - or worse. This sets up a nice opportunity to back Favre and company this week. The Saints' win over Cleveland is being overblown as is the Green Bay loss to Chicago. The Bears defense is truly awesome. It was #1 last year. Shutting out a rusty Green Bay offense? Impressive but not unfounded or that unexpected. It is embarrasing to lose your home opener and it doesn't get worse than laying putting up a goose egg. After being shutout at home, professional athletes dig down and find anything they have to come back next week. The Packers get another shot at ome here - a perfect one. New Orleans' defense is terrible. Last year they allowed 30 points per game on the road on way to a 3-6 ATS mark. Sure they won last week but a Browns penalty on a touchdown made that possible. Statistically speaking, this is about a toss-up game. But when we factor in the motivation of Green Bay, off that embarrasing week 1 loss, I like the Packers to rebound with a win. This line is off because the public cant stomach baking Green Bay right now and they are over-enamored with Reggie Bush and the Saints' week one win. Don't buy the hype - back the Pack.