2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 10, 2006
This pick was released to clients on July 31, 2012 at 12:41AM ET.
Minnesota at Detroit
Sunday 12/10 01:00 PM Eastern
4 units on Minnesota +1.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64) RESULT: WIN
Minnesota may end up going with Tarvaris Jackson at QB this week and it would be the right place as they face one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Detroit defense will be without James Hall, and Shaun Rogers, the two best pass rushers, and the secondary will be without Fernando Bryant. So the worst defense will be a bit weaker. Detroit has the league's worst team at defending the pass, allowing 68.3% completions. Their offense is their bright spot, if they have one. But, they are going to be facing a tough defense here. Minnesota held Rex grossman to 6-19 last week and just 34 yards and intercepted him three times. The Vikes have owned this series winning 9 straight and 13 of 14, and we don't expect that to change this week. Tavaris Jackson had a great exhibition season, finishing with a 106.1 rating and he poses a threat with his great mobility. Detroit had its playoff game last week against New England, and coughed it up in the 4th quarter. They have shown to be a team to pack it in as the season goes south, losing 6 of last 7 last year, and 8 of last 10 two years ago. Detroit has now given up 46 sacks, and stand just 14-31 ATS as a favorite in last 45. Minnesota is 7-2 ATS vs the NFC North while Detroit is 1-7 ATS last 8 vs the North. Detroit has the 30th ranked defense in points allowed vs. Minnesota ranked #8. Hard to believe a 2-10 team is giving a 5-7 team points, but we will gladly take them - new QB or not.