2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 24, 2006

This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:20PM ET.

24

Jacksonville at Indianapolis

Sunday 09/24 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Indianapolis -7 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: PUSH

What a performance by Jacksonville on Monday night. This team looks to be for real. I do think they are improved but I think they are in a tough spot here. Let's not get too caught up in how good Jacksonville has been to forget about the Colts. These guys are still the most feared team in the league. They beat the Giants in a tough road test in week one and dismantled Houston last week putting up 43 points. Jacksonville was very "up" for Monday Night's game as they should have been. The Super Bowl champs came to town. But now, the Jags are off a short week and must travel to Indinapolis - a tough place to play. It is very hard to get up to peak emotional level two weeks in a row and despite this being an important game for the Jags, it can't compare to last week and I think the Jags will suffer a minor letdown. And you can bet Peyton Manning and the rest of the Colts offense will be fired up to take on a team that shutout the Steelers last week. Joseph Addai is starting to emerge and if he can fill Edge's shoes, this offense again will be nearly unstoppable. Also lost in the hoopla of Monday Night's results was that the Jags struggled offensively. They put up just 3 field goals. Sure, the Colts will have a tough time running the ball on Sunday but Manning is going to throw for a few touchdowns and unless Jacksonville can score touchdowns, they are in for a long day. When Indy's offense is "on" you had better look out. They are 11-3 ATS the last three seasons following two straight games in which they scored 25+ points. The Colts always start strong having gone 12-4 ATS during the first month of the season under Dungy. I look for the Colts to pour it on and for Jacksonville to be slightly flat and struggle to keep up. Colts minus the points here.

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