2006 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 08, 2006

This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 8:40PM ET.

08

Miami at New England

Sunday 10/08 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on New England -10 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: PUSH

Yeah, Miami is that bad. This team lost to Buffalo and Houston and barely beat Tennessee! Houston and Tennssee? Come on! As I've said before, not a big fan of Daunte Culpepper. Don't get me wrong, I had him two years ago in my fantasy football team when he was amazing. But, that's when he had Randy Moss to throw to. Without Moss, Duante is average. Right now he looks worse than that. He has no offensive line to protect him and he's in big big trouble with Belichick laying in wait. Nick Saban may again resurrect this team later in the year, but the fact remains that they are now 5-14 ATS in early season play the past three seasons. They are also 2-11 ATS vs. division opponents over that same span. New England is a strange bird this year. Hard to figure out. But, with Brady and Belichick, they are always a threat. They're off a confidence-boosting upset of Cincinnati. This is what they needed. It won't cause overconfidence. Just the opposite. The Pats squeaked by the first two weeks against weak teams (Buffalo and the Jets) and got embarrased at home by Denver in week three. They needed a big win and they are far from over-confident. And they know how to put together solid performances. The Pats are 10-2 ATS the past three seasons following a game in which they allowed 14 or fewer points. Under Belichick, they are 28-13 ATS vs. division opponents and 9-2 at home off an upset road win! They have a bye coming up so there's no looking past Miami. They want to go into the bye week with a bang and I think they do. Pats in a blowout against a very bad team.

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