2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 27, 2005

This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 7:15PM ET.

27

St. Louis at Houston

Sunday 11/27 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Houston +4 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: LOSS

When will everyone figure this out? The Rams are horrible on the road. They are 1-4 SU and ATS this season away from home. Dating back to last year, they are 2-10 SU &
ATS. It doesn't get much worse than that. Both of those ATS wins were as an underdog. Yet today they are a road favorite. Yes, I know - this is Houston. But, St. Louis just can't be backed on the road, especially without their starting QB. St. Louis' defense, ranked 29th, is the real problem. We faded them last week because of that. They gave up 372 yards and 27 first downs to the Cardinals - the CARDINALS! Their hearts are not in it right now either. They have no shot at the division and are likely out of the playoffs and they've got dirty laundry airing about how dysfunctional the team and management really are. And, that was a devastating loss last week. Capers will have his team ready. With him as coach, the Texans are 13-4 ATS after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games and Caper-led teams are 19-4 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. Houston was hammered last week but that's a perfect set up here. Home dogs that play on grass that had 40 points scored against them in their last game are 2-1 ATS this season and 69% lifetime. And, teams that lost by 21+ points vs. an opponent that allowed 25+ points two straight games are 2-0 this season and 68% lifetime. The Rams have given up 28+ points in four out of five road games this season. We'll back the home dog here for two stars.

NFL

 

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Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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