Arizona at New York

My favorite picks are few and far between but I like this one. In week one, home favorites of 3 or less hit at about a 70% clip against the spread. While much improved, the Cardinals will find it tough going on the road in New York here in week one. New York will feature a heavy dose of Tiki Barber with a bit of Eli Manning to Plaxico Burress thrown in. Manning should be entering this game with a lot of confidence after finishing out last season on a high note, posting a QB rating of 100+ in two of his final three games. There's some concern about his elbow but I'm assuming he's fine. On the defensive side, Michael Strahan returns for the G-Men after missing the entire second half of last season. If he gets to Kurt Warner early and rattles him, it will be a long mistake-prone day for the Arizona QB. JJ Arrington will be good this season but I don't expect a break-out performance in his first game. Take the small home favorite for one star.