2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 04, 2005
This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 7:20PM ET.
Washington at St. Louis
Sunday 12/04 04:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Washington -3 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
St. Louis has been bad on the road for a while now. But, in years past, you could count on them being tough at home. Not this year as they are just 2-3 ATS on the home turf this season. They'll be starting either a hobbled 2nd string Jamie Martin or 3rd string Ivy Leaguer Ryan Fitzpatrick. Fitz played nicely last week in relief but against the Skins? No way. Washington enters with the 10th ranked defense. That's compared to St. Louis' 29th ranked D. St. Louis remains overvalued in the eyes of the public (somehow). They are really a team that is no better than about 25 other NFL teams. They pulled off a very improbable win last week against Houston. They needed two scores within the last minute and thanks to an onside kick recovery, got it. Don't forget they were trailing that game 24-3 at the half. If you are EVER trailing the Houston Texans 24-3, you have major issues. Washington, outside of one game against the New York Giants, have been in every single game this season. That loss aside, their other five losses have come by a total of 19 points. They are better than their record indicates. Favorites off an ATS no-cover vs. a team off an ATS cover hit at about 67% ATS in the NFL. One star on the Skins.