This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 5:14PM ET.
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Atlanta at Detroit

November 24, 2005
img12:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Detroit +3 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS

Two home puppies on Turkey day. Can Detroit carve up another kind of bird - a Falcon- on Thanksgiving? I think so! You know I am not a big fan of the Falcons. I have believed them overrated dating back to last season. They have talent on offense for sure. Virtually no one can stop their offensive attack. But, their defense is well not good enough to allow for elite-team status. The last two weeks they scored 25 and 27, respectively, yet lost both games outright. They now have to travel to Detroit on Thanksgiving where the Lions are 11-6 SU and ATS. And, that record was notched with some pretty bad teams. This year Detroit is better than they have been in a while. At home they are 4-1 ATS. Detroit gets Dre Bly back at corner for this game and LB Boss Bailey and S Terrance Holt are also expected to return from injury. Jeff Garcia may also get the start. Hotlanta can run the ball and should have success again in that realm. But, Detroit is giving up just 80 yards rushing per game at home this season so they have a shot of keeping it from getting ugly. And, Atlanta has the 5th worst pass offense and a mediocre run defense. That's not worth laying 3 points on the road on Turkey day. We'll take Detroit plus the points for two stars.

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