2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 27, 2005
This pick was released to clients on July 25, 2012 at 7:17PM ET.
Jacksonville at Arizona
Sunday 11/27 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Jacksonville -3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: WIN
The Jags have found some offense (finally). They've topped 30 points two weeks in a row now. Arizona won as a big underdog last week. We knew they were in a great situation there against an overrated St. Louis team that was ripe for the picking. And, we knew a motivated Kurt Warner would do well against his former team. But, this is not St. Louis' horrible defense. This is the Jags. They have the top pass defense in the league, allowing just 160 yards per game through the air. Warner won't find as much success this week. Outside of their game at Indianapolis, Jacksonville has put up 26, 20, 21, and 38 points on the road this season. Their record in those 4 games = 3-1 SU and ATS. Against teams the caliber of Arizona (Jets, Texans, Ravens and Titans), Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS and 4-0 SU. Jacksonville is one of the better teams in the league and this is a pretty big mismatch that isn't reflected enough in the spread. Jacksonville minus the points for two stars.