2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 23, 2005
This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 8:16PM ET.
Baltimore at Chicago
Sunday 10/23 04:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Chicago -1 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
While I picked the Bears last week, I must admit I had no idea they'd win by 25 points! It was the only game that we could really sit back and not stress about at all last weekend. We'll continue to ride them here as Kyle Orton continues to get snaps and continues to improve. In this game, the teams won't be able to help but think they are looking in the mirror. Both teas have great defenses (Chicago ranked 3rd and Baltimore 2nd) and struggling offenses, especially in the passing game. But, Chicago's offense has more potential. They've scored more points than Baltimore and they did put up 28 last week (bolstering Orton's confidence). Baltimore has managed just 12.6 points per game so far - ouch. Road teams with a good passing defense (allowing 175 or less passing yards/game) off 3 straight games in which they allowed under 5.5 passing yards/attempt are just 5-24 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Also, small favorites vs. a team that just won their first game of the season after multiple losses are 2-0 this year and 13-1 prior to that! Baltimore remains a bit overrated if that's possible and the Bears are the better team here. One star on Chicago.