2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 30, 2005
This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 8:20PM ET.
Cleveland at Houston
Sunday 10/30 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Cleveland +2 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: LOSS
Pinch me. The winless Texans are favorites. Trap? I don't think so. Some things in life are just wrong and this is one of them. Cleveland is bad but Houston is horrific. As a result, this game gets my award this week for the most outrageous line. Cleveland should be over a field goal favorite here. Yeah, I know that this is Houston's best shot at a victory this year and that they will be trying hard. But, no matter how hard I try, I am not going to beat Michael Jordan in a game of pickup. Trying only helps if you have the talent and skills to pull it off. If it weren't for San Francisco, this Houston team would be setting records for bad play this year. David Carr has already been sacked 35 times. Last week he hit the rug 5 times and coughed up the ball 3 times. My supercomputer simulation gives the Browns a 63% at winning here. It's obvious to the computer, to me and hopefully to you - the wrong team is favored here. Houston is ranked dead last in the league in passing, total offense and rushing defense. They are losing by an average margin of 17.5 points per game. They've been outgained by 861 yards this season and have 56 fewer first downs than their opposition. And they are favored? You gotta be kidding me! Cleveland for two stars.