2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 18, 2005

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

18

Kansas City at Las Vegas

Sunday 09/18 08:30 PM Eastern

1 unit on Kansas City -1.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: WIN

Look out. If Kansas City can continue to play aggressive swarming defense like they did in week one, they are Super Bowl bound. We know they have the offense and now it looks like they may have some defense to go with it. Ask yourself, did Oakland improve their offense enough to catch up to Kansas City's? No way. Did KC improve their defense more than Oakland did? Definitely yes. This should be a very high-scoring game but KC can keep up with anyone and they appear to have a better defense than Oakland. Norv Turner is just 11-25 ATS after a loss and the Chiefs are 19-10-1 ATS vs. the Raiders in recent history. In early season games, teams that were winless in the preseason (like KC) hit at about a 75% clip ATS. Also, home teams at +3 to -3 off a road loss after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses are just 8-33 (19%) since 1983 in the first month of the season. One star on the Chiefs.

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Wins Losses Units
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