Atlanta at Jacksonville

Atlanta lost last week by 3 at home to the Titans, 21-24. Teams off very close home losses go OVER the total in the preseason in their next game over 80% of the time if playing in week 3 or 4. Also, winning home teams and teams off 2+ wins against the spread also go over at a very high-rate. Jacksonville is 2-0 with back-to-back straight-up and ATS wins. The Jags are also 16-6 OVER following a preseason win since their inception. Both of these teams are averaging over 21 points per game. Expect this one to go over for two stars.