2005 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 18, 2005
This pick was released to clients on July 12, 2012 at 7:51PM ET.
St. Louis at Arizona
Sunday 09/18 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on St. Louis +1 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82) RESULT: WIN
Last week when we went against the Rams I said I will take them sparingly this year and not often on the road. Well, here we go. I like the Rams in this one. Why is Arizona a favorite here? Because the Rams lost to the lowly 49ers. Heck, in the public's mind they need to in some way "punish" the Rams for such an atrocious loss. "How could anyone lose to the Niners?" they are thinking. As a result, we get great value here on the Rams - the better team getting a point. I expect the Rams to come out a bit pissed off and fighting in this one. They lost as a big favorite and will be extra motivated this week. Arizona lost big but they weren't expected to win so they aren't as upset. With all of the problems I believe the Rams have, they actually do very well in games following a division loss under Mike Martz. They are 8-1 with Martz at the helm off a loss against a division rival. And, across the league, underdogs off a close loss to a division rival are 33-9 vs. another division rival over the last 5 seasons. Two stars on the Rams.