These picks were released to clients on February 06, 2024 at 1:04PM ET.
img NFL

San Francisco at Kansas City

February 11, 2024
img6:38 PM Eastern

Highest scoring quarter = 4th in Super Bowl LVIII? Take the "Yes" on this bet. Based on my analysis of past Super Bowls and the teams in this matchup, I estimate there to be a 50% chance of us winning this bet. At 50% odds, we have a big advantage against the book.

1 unit on Highest scoring quarter = 4th = Yes (risk 1 to return 2.9)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Kansas City +3.5 (-150) (risk 1 to return 1.67)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on 1st ¼ UNDER 10 -165 (risk 1.5 to return 2.41)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 48 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Will the opening kickoff be a touchback = No (risk 1 to return 3.75)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Score in first 3:30 = No (risk 2 to return 2.45)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Score in first 7:00 = No (risk 1 to return 2.4)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Any player 150+ receiving yards = No (risk 2 to return 2.53)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Shortest touchdown in game under 1.5 yards = Yes (risk 2 to return 3.43)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Total rushing touchdowns over 2.5 = No (risk 1.5 to return 2.13)
Result:
WIN
2 units on Longest FG in game over 48.5 yards = No (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Total field goals under 4.5 = Yes (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Kickoff returned for a touchdown = Yes (risk 0.5 to return 9.5)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Successful onside kick = Yes (risk 0.5 to return 17)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Offensive touchdown scored on 4th down = No (risk 2 to return 2.5)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Score in final 3:30 of 4th quarter = Yes (risk 1.5 to return 2.44)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Tied after 0-0 = No (risk 1 to return 2.01)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Will there be overtime = No (risk 2 to return 2.18)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Team that scores last win game = Yes (risk 2 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Highest scoring half = 2nd + OT = Yes (risk 1 to return 2.08)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on Margin of victory exactly 4 points = Yes (risk 0.5 to return 8)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
San Francisco 49ers
0
10
0
9
3
22
Kansas City Chiefs img
0
3
10
6
6
25
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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