This pick was released to clients on January 17, 2024 at 7:53PM ET.
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Kansas City at Buffalo

January 21, 2024
img6:41 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Kansas City +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.6)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 45.5 -107 (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
WIN

Kansas City has won six of eight road games this season and that is actually better than their 5-4 home record. The Chiefs will look to avenge a 20-17 loss to the Bills on Dec. 10 when Kansas City was going through a rough stretch losing three of four games. The Chiefs then rebounded to win their final two regular season games before defeating Miami in freezing cold on Saturday so obviously the Buffalo weather won't be anything new to the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes threw for 262 yards and a TD with no interceptions in terrible conditions and Rashee Rice caught eight passes for 130 yards. Buffalo has won six in a row, but it's questionable how long the Bills can survive with 13 players on the team's injury report. Five defensive starters and three backups are questionable or doubtful for the Bills while Kansas City is relatively healthy. Buffalo has gone OVER three of its past four games and five of its past six playoff games. The Chiefs are 13-6 OVER as underdogs, 10-4 OVER as road dogs. and over the past three seasons. They are 8-1 OVER following back-to-back great defensive performances (allowing 17 or less points). Under Andy Reid, the Chiefs are 24-14 OVER as an underdog and 16-10 straight-up as an underdog of up to +230. Kansas City is 15-5-1 ATS as an underdog overall, but go Max Play with the Chiefs on the moneyline, and take the OVER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs img
3
10
7
7
27
Buffalo Bills
3
14
7
0
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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