Hockey picksApril 17, 2021

NHL Winners Setup Huge Saturday Slate

NHL winners for saturday

Two more NHL winners on Friday improved my recent record in Hockey to 15-4 (79%). I’ve posted six winning days out of the past nine, raking in +$5,760 for dime bettors in the process. Today there are 11 games on the board and I have trends, updated odds and betting tips to help set the table.

Early Action in the East

The New Jersey Devils are taking on the New York Rangers at 12:30 pm ET, while Alex Ovechkin and the Capitals face off against Philadelphia. The Rangers and Flyers are both in desperate need of a win. While the Rangers are 6-2-2 in their past 10, the 4th place Bruins show little sign of slowing down. Boston shut out the Islanders 3-0 last night, improving Boston’s win streak to three-straight.

New York is listed as a -235 moneyline favorite and they have already beaten the Devils twice this week by lopsided scores of 4-0 and 3-0.

  • During a current four-game win streak against New Jersey, the Rangers have outscored their rival 19-4.

NHL home favorites that have won four-straight against an opponent are 65% likely to win the fifth game as well, but the bookmaker washes out this advantage by charging an average line close to -200. At that rate, you need a 67% record just to break even (implied probability).

When teams meet in a back-to-back, the home favorites record before this season was 29-17 (63%). So far in 2021, the year of the divisional rivalry, the favorite is 8-4 SU, including a record of 7-2 when favored by -200 or more.

  • New Jersey is 9-23 when playing its third game in five days.
  • The Rangers are 36-26 when playing a four-in-seven.

The Devils are in a 1-8 spiral since March 30. New Jersey is 4-14 after losing four of five, and will be hard pressed to mount any sort of attack here.

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Bubble Battle

The St. Louis Blues looked lost in March, losing five-straight in the first half before hitting a seven-game skid (0-6-1) from March 22 to April 5. Jordan Binnington then made 50 saves in a 3-1 win over Vegas on April 7. Suddenly the Blues offense sparked to life, scoring 12 goals in back-to-back wins over the Wild. The revival coincided perfectly with Arizona’s current losing streak and today, these teams meet with the fourth and final playoff spot in the West on the line.

St. Louis at Arizona
Saturday, 04/17, 6 PM ET
Line: Blues -135 and 5.5 UN -120

Notorious with close margin games, the Blues have recorded 45 wins by exactly one goal in the past three seasons, tied for ninth-most in the league. This year, however, St. Louis is only 11-13 in games decided by a one-goal margin. Three of those losses were against Colorado, which wouldn’t surprise anyone. But three more came against these Coyotes, and as they get set for their first battle since Feb. 15, St. Louis will look to Binnington to help regain that edge.

  • Good offensive teams that average more than 29.5 shots are 132-97 (58%) on the road after recording 30-plus shots in each of their past five games.

St. Louis has notched 30-plus shots in five-straight games. They’ve climbed into 12th spot with 30.0 shots per game on the season, and the Coyotes rank dead last with 26.5 shots per game. The last time these teams faced off, Arizona won 1-0 but the Blues outshot the Yotes 24-19.

  • Home teams off a divisional road loss (Arizona), are 253-157 (62%) against opponents coming off a game where both teams scored 3 or more goals.

The Coyotes are in the midst of their fourth winning season in a row against the Blues. They went 2-1 in three-straight years before 2021, and are now up 4-3 in the series. These two squads are identical in traditional power play stats, but the Blues have a notable edge in net power play, which takes into account the number of short handed goals a team allows.

  • When the total was greater than 5, the UNDER is 24-11 (69%) between these two teams.

St. Louis is also 5-0 UNDER with revenge in 2021, and 12-4 UNDER after allowing more than three goals the previous game.

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NHL Winners on Demand

My NHL Max Plays are 10-3 (77%) this season for a bankroll profit of +$6,170. I’m also hitting 60% with Over/Under picks, going 36-24. Grab my next set of NHL picks today and check out my NBA, MLB and MLS picks as well. I’m 19-10 (66%) with Soccer this month for +$7,670 and dime bettors added +$13,580 with my MLS picks last season!

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