Week 11 accentuates one of the strongest appeals for following college football: tradition. Rivalries stretch back decades and litter the NCAA college football card at the end of November. The Thanksgiving holiday brings families together for a full helping of turkey on Thursday followed by an even fuller helping of football all through the weekend.
College football week 10 is now over and this brings in rivary week. Rivalries bring an extra dimension to handicapping games, as do revenge situations. In one recent season, UCLA was 6-4 anxious to cement a winning season with just two games remaining. The Bruins entered Week 11 as a 3-point favorite over rival USC looking to avenge a 43-38 loss to the Trojans the previous season.
UCLA stomped all over their rivals, winning and covering with ease, 62-33. One player remarked after the win, "It means everything. They had our tails the last two times we played and we really hung it on them. And getting the win on their turf means something special." Talk about multiple levels of motivation!
Why Use Free College Football Week 11 Picks
You take the path to cash winning tickets by applying the right information to the edges on the betting card. That information comes in many forms: quotes from coaches hinting at the game plan, nagging injuries to key players, a tired team playing its third road game in four weeks, or a warm weather team that likes to pass heading to a cold weather city with chilly November wins expected.
Gathering the information comes first, then you need to activate your critical thinking to narrow down how the key ingredients may influence the betting line. It's enjoyable and challenging to begin that process yourself, but part of that routine should be to tap into the insight of successful professional handicappers which doubles your winning information. So it makes sense to get free college football picks to help simplify the process and decipher the weakest odds.
Betting Value in Free College Football Week 11 Picks
Fortunately, all that data can reap rewards. A one-dimensional offense that relies on a great ground attack because they have a mediocre quarterback is going to struggle against a rock-solid defensive line. A team on the bowl bubble that hasn't been to a bowl in 10 years is likely going all-out in Week 11 to conclude a memorable season for its school.
A pass-happy offense that has a QB with a gimpy knee or a sore shoulder may not score as many points as the oddsmakers anticipate, worth a look as a go-against or UNDER the total. Rivalry and revenge spots dot the Week 11 card, as well, adding more pieces to the handicapping puzzle.
But the value is there because the oddsmakers put up so many numbers with sides, totals, college football props, and moneylines. You just need to work at the craft to follow the correct steps, which should include acquiring free information from experts who make their living at beating the odds.
Wunderdog Free College Football Week 11 Picks
After many years of study, I've learned to beat those odds on a consistent basis for over two decades. The free selections I release are packed with the reasons why, incorporating motivation, injuries, line movement, and on-the-field college football matchups with handicapping situations such as rivalry, sandwich sports, and home/road differentials that stand out.
I do the homework all week long making it easier for you to learn how to find winning edges. You're welcome to get on board to take advantage of this expertise - and best of all, it's free.
Free College Football Week 11 Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free College Football Week 11 Picks Pros:
- Expands your late-season handicapping knowledge
- Understanding when to ignore line movement and when to follow it
- Zero dollars spent to play alongside a professional bettor
Free College Football Week 11 Pick Cons:
- Don't be told to bet more than usual just because the season is winding down
- Selections are only reliable if the handicapper has a documented track record showing positive results
- Picks without analysis don't help you learn and cast doubt on whether any actual work is put into them
Premium College Football Week 11 Pick Pros:
- The top plays will come with multiple angles/reasons behind them
- Long-term wagering success is only possible with the proper money management strategy
- Football season may be ending but you're absorbing handicapping fundamentals that apply to other sports
Premium College Football Week 11 Pick Cons:
- Too many picks can put too much of your money on the line
- Potentially addictive, so be aware of the risk and know your wagering limits
- Could stress you out by removing the past enjoyment you got from watching sports
How To Win With Free College Football Week 11 Picks
When lines are first posted, some sides and totals will shift right away as a handful of respected Wise Guys are allowed by the sportsbooks to play the opening number. That's done on purpose so the oddsmakers can see any minor errors and make corrections immediately. In the meantime, do your own research and make your own numbers, then compare to any free Week 11 picks that you have access to.
If there are similarities, both you and the handicapping pro likely recognize the same thing or have found similar information. If the expert has the opposite side of the same game, double-check to see what you might have overlooked. Back a few choice selections but be patient, disciplined, and stick with the same plan you've been doing all season. That way you'll be confident at kickoff knowing you've done the work and are on the same page with a betting pro.
Free College Football Week 11 Betting Strategy
Bowl Bound or Bust
With two games to go in the season, the math is simple for 5-5 or 4-6 NCAA college football teams: win or the season is over with no bowl game. Wins and a bowl berth are two powerful incentives for a strong performance. Coaches want to take teams bowling as it's a winning season on their resume while bringing in revenue for the school. Players want to be part of a winning team and a bowl appearance is a reward that brings national exposure.
In one recent Week 11, West Virginia had lost five of seven conference games but was 4-6 overall with two games left. Their motivation was to win out and a bowl berth would give them a shot at a winning season. West Virginia was a 2.5-point favorite in its home finale and won 31-23 over a Texas team that was shell-shocked after losing 57-56 to Kansas as 31-point chalk. Finding multiple reasons to back one team and fade another only adds to the strength of a pick.
Revenge
Revenge is great on paper but is not a good enough reason by itself to back a team against the spread. If a below-average college football team has lost eight straight times to their rival, revenge doesn't really carry any weight. They've been in revenge mode for seven straight years and keep coming up short!
That same West Virginia squad was in revenge-mode earlier in the season against Iowa State but had many factors in their favor. West Virginia was a home dog at 3-4 with a chance to get back to .500. The previous year, the Mountaineers suffered their worst loss of the season to Iowa State, 42-6. As a +8.5 home dog, West Virginia won the game, 38-31, at +230 on the moneyline.
In a recent Week 11 revenge situation, Minnesota was coming off its first loss of the season after a 9-0 start. They were at Northwestern, a team that had beaten them 24-14 the previous year. Minnesota won and covered, 38-22, to clinch a share of the Big 10 West Division title along with its first 10-win season in almost 20 years. There were multiple reasons for the Gophers to exact revenge and cover, including the Minnesota coach saying, "everyone wanted to get back on the field and get that (first loss) taste out of their mouth so bad."
Ugly Dogs Playing Hard
The average bettor overlooks Week 11 ugly underdogs winding down lost seasons. They're often a big dog on the road or when they're matched up against winning teams. However, those ugly dogs can still give a terrific effort and cover the number. What the big dog needs is something, or several things, in its favor.
One would be a decent quarterback, perhaps even an NFL talent, that has had a very good season, but he doesn't have a lot of help around him. For one game, though, the whole team can give a strong effort and hang in there against a heavily-favored opponent with the star QB carrying much of the team.
Or a head coach can have a history of getting his teams to play hard, even in Week 11 of a lost season. A bad team playing its final home game can also be a powerful motivator to back an ugly underdog. Another would be a "look ahead spot" by the favorite, playing a weak team in Week 11 with a rivalry to Top 25 showdown next week. They could be looking ahead to the big game while not taking the ugly underdog seriously enough.
Free College Football Week 11 Picks Subscription
Family and friends are gathering during the Thanksgiving holidays to celebrate, eat, and watch football. However, oddsmakers and professional bettors aren't taking the weekend off, not with dozens of games requiring hundreds of different wagering (and winning) options.
The tried and true betting angles that were used during the first two months of the season are still in play but augmented with new angles to add to the wagering repertoire. Reading College Football Week 11 Picks helps you handicap the holiday weekend with new angles and insight to identify the weakest numbers.
You can wind down your college football regular season and prepare for the bowls alongside an established pro by signing up for my free selections through a subscription service. And at no cost - why wouldn't you do it?
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