After two NCAA college football games, you can begin to sink your teeth into the stats. Two games give a decent indication of a team's strengths and weaknesses. It's also the time when many teams are done with a few non-conference games and start into conference play, which is easier to analyze as far as matchups.
A key action taking place in preparation for Week 3 is that coaches are making adjustments, shifting personnel around, or replacing players who've been ineffective. This adds another layer of work when gleaning information on games. If you don't know what changes and improvements are being made on the field you can't get on the right side of the betting line.
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Why Use Free Week 3 College Football Picks
Analyzing stats while acquiring information during the week on upcoming games are the first two steps into assessing the final score and the betting odds. Receiving NCAA college football picks is one piece of the puzzle to assist you.
There will be information that you weren't away of, as well as betting angles and insight you hadn't thought of. All of which give you a better chance to more accurately assess the lines the oddsmakers have put up. Those odds aren't spat out of a computer.
The human element is involved in balancing situations, stats, and what they think the general public thinks about a game. If you want to beat the odds, you need to be armed with the right information.
Betting Value in Week 3 College Football Picks
The average fan has already formed opinions about how good or bad teams are. "Michigan is 2-0, they're going to roll as they open Big 10 play!" But who did the Wolverines play in those first two games? If it was a pair of non-conference cupcakes, then maybe they're not in mid-season form facing Big 10 athletes for the first time in the new season.
One recent season, Pitt was 2-0 and a 14-point favorite over Western Michigan in Week 3. But the defense hadn't played that well, beating a cupcake in the opener, 51-7, then giving up 374 yards and 34 points in week 2 college football. They ended up losing straight-up to Western Michigan, 44-41, surrendering 517 yards.
Look closely inside the stats of those first two games. Teams will have weak spots that can be exploited and be overvalued by the public and the oddsmakers in Week 3.
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Free Week 3 College Football Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free Week 3 College Football Picks Pros:
- Match the picks you prefer with ones the pros are backing
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Free Week 3 College Football Picks Cons:
- Don't tease or parlay unless instructed by the pro service
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Premium Picks Pros:
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How To Win With Free Week 3 College Football Picks
Winning in sports wagering is about gathering information and assessing where the value lies in the odds, be it the side, total, moneyline, or props. Compare your own analysis and projections to what the professional is on. The pros will have a wider range of insight, information, and angles, so you should pick up essential betting strategies.
Finally, line shop for the best number. The difference between a half-a-point or one point may not seem like much but over the course of a season, you'll find more wins than pushes and losses if you take the time to search, shop and compare.
Free Week 3 College Football Picks Betting Strategy
Cupcakes
Cupcakes are simple tasty dishes to nibble on. College football athletic directors enjoy cupcakes, too - when they set up the schedule. Plenty of programs will open the season against lower-level schools.
The purpose is to try and squeeze out an extra home game for increased revenue plus excite the fans with some easy blowouts against those cupcakes in Weeks 1 and 2. They may be 2-0 heading into conference play in Week 3, but an astute handicapper takes into account that they haven't been tested yet on the field.
Those teams - and betting lines - can be in for a rude awakening. They can provide overvalued Week 3 "go-against" wagering opportunities.
Key Numbers
Betting odds shift because of too much money coming in on one side. It's important to identify who is moving the money, with a few big bettors being the most important to keep tabs on. In addition, the lines can have increased wagering value when they move off a key number.
College football key number sides are 3, 7, 10, 14, 4, 17, and 21. College football key numbers on totals are 55, 51, 45, 59, 58, 52, and 41. Professional bettors are able to identify those big moves, another advantage in acquiring free picks from a pro.
Coaching Adjustments
Coaches can shift personnel after the first two games to fix weak spots. Also, injuries can crop up that need to be factored in beyond the overall stats, especially to players who are difference-makers.
In one Week 3 college football battle, undefeated Texas lost starting quarterback James Brown to an injury the week before but the Longhorns were still a home favorite over winless UCLA. UCLA was 0-2 but had lost the first two games by a combined nine points. Underdog UCLA won 66-3 starting a 10-game winning streak and a trip to the Rose Bowl.
Obviously, they weren't as bad as that 0-2 start appeared to unsophisticated observers.
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