This pick was released to clients on July 28, 2025 at 11:27AM ET.
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Seattle at Connecticut

July 28, 2025
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This is the fourth meeting of the season, and Connecticut has covered the spread all three, including an outright 93-83 win as a 16.5-point underdog on July 9. Connecticut is on a 5-1 ATS run, and the Sun are 6-1 ATS in their past seven against teams with winning records. The Sun has covered five of six Monday games, and Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its past six games playing with one day of rest. The Storm are 2-5 ATS in their past seven, and they lost an ugly 69-58 decision at Washington as a 4-point favorite on Saturday while shooting just 33 percent. Meanwhile, Connecticut perhaps played its best game of the year, destroying Golden State 95-64 as a 5-point underdog. The Storm are 6-1 OVER their past seven against teams with losing records, and the Sun have gone OVER four of six overall and 11 of 15 at home. Take the Sun ATS, on the moneyline, and the OVER.

1.5 units on Connecticut +12.5 (-108) (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Connecticut +500 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 6)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 157.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Seattle Storm img
27
30
30
14
101
Connecticut Sun
21
25
12
27
85
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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