This pick was released to clients on July 28, 2025 at 11:27AM ET.
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New York at Dallas

July 28, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Dallas looks to bounce back from a humiliating 106-80 home loss to Las Vegas, which shot 49 percent and went 15-for-36 from 3-point range. The Wings obviously will focus on clamping down defensively after that performance, and the game soared OVER by 19.5 points. Dallas has gone OVER 10 of 15 overall and four of its past five home games. New York has gone OVER five of six road contests, and the Liberty are 0-6 ATS in those games. New York comes off a 101-99 defeat as an 11-point favorite against Los Angeles on Saturday. The Liberty are 1-8 ATS following an ATS loss, 1-6 ATS after any loss, and 2-8 ATS in their past 10 against Western Conference opponents. Six of the past nine meetings have gone OVER, and four of the five at Dallas have sailed OVER. Take the Wings to get an outright victory and the OVER.

1 unit on Dallas +325 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.25)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 171.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
New York Liberty
19
17
26
20
82
Dallas Wings img
31
32
22
7
92
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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