Los Angeles at New York

The oddsmakers have a history of overvaluing New York in this matchup as the Sparks have covered seven of the past eight meetings. New York is struggling without injured center Jonquel Jones, having lost five of seven with an 0-7 ATS mark. The Liberty's defense also has suffered as they have gone OVER six of seven while yielding 90.7 points per game. The past five meetings have gone OVER, although this is the first one this season. The Sparks are on a current 11-3 OVER run and 5-0 OVER against teams with winning records. The Liberty are 0-6 ATS following a loss and 0-5 ATS against the Western Conference. Take the Sparks ATS as my big play, grab them on the moneyline for a unit, and bet this game OVER.