This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 08, 2025 at 10:34AM ET.
img WNBA

Las Vegas at Phoenix

October 8, 2025
img8:00 PM Eastern

There is great urgency for the Mercury coming home down 0-2 to the Aces in the championship series. Phoenix is 3-1 SU and ATS in its past four home playoff games. The Mercury impressively eliminated the Lynx and Liberty. Minnesota had the best regular-season record, and New York was the defending WNBA champion. The Aces are 1-2 SU and ATS in their three playoff away games. The Aces have also played weaker competition in the postseason, facing Seattle and a severely shorthanded Indiana. Even then, Las Vegas needed overtime at home to eliminate the Fever in Game 3 of their semifinal series. Las Vegas has League MVP A'ja Wilson, along with All-Stars Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray. Phoenix can match that star power with triple-double machine Alyssa Thomas, Kahleah Copper, and Satou Sabally. Each team gave up an average of 75 points during the regular season, but the Mercury ranked fourth in defensive field goal percentage while the Aces were sixth. Play Phoenix on the moneyline. 

1.5 units on Phoenix -175 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.36)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Aces img
26
29
21
14
90
Phoenix Mercury
23
20
16
29
88
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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