This Pro Pick was released to clients on July 16, 2025 at 10:26AM ET.
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Golden State at Seattle

July 16, 2025
img3:00 PM Eastern

Golden State is outscoring opponents with a +1.5 differential on the season (7th best), anchored by terrific defense and rebounding. The defense is No. 1 in the WNBA in shooting allowed (40%), while they're third in rebounding and in defensive rebounding. Golden State has covered its last two road games, a 104-102 loss at Las Vegas as a +5 underdog, and an 80-61 win at Indiana getting +7.5. Seattle is eighth in the 13-team league in points scored, while the defense is eighth in shooting allowed. They're a poor rebounding squad, 12th in defensive rebounds and last in offensive boards. Seattle comes off a 74-69 home loss to Washington, shooting just 36%, turning it over 17 times while getting outrebounded again. Seattle is on a 2-6 spread run, including an 84-57 loss to Golden State as a favorite. In that game, Golden State shot 48.4% while holding Seattle to 27% from the field. Play Golden State.

1.5 units on Golden State +5 (-108) (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Golden State Valkyries
15
16
13
14
58
Seattle Storm img
14
17
17
19
67
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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